CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GASO 44.1%55.9% JXST
Projected margin
JXST by 2.4
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
GASO 17 to JXST 24
Win probability
JXST 55.9%
FinalGASO 27 · JXST 31model had +2.4, off by 1.6

Current team profiles

Georgia Southern
Jacksonville State

When Georgia Southern has the ball

Passing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO offense
#47
JXST defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO offense
#107
JXST defense
#91
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
0.09
#91
Rush EPA

Drive success

GASO offense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO offense
#75
JXST defense
#87
Success rates
43%
#75
42%
#87
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#75
0.05
#62
EPA / play
1.22
#81
1.09
#19
Explosiveness
17%
#105
16%
#77
Havoc

When Jacksonville State has the ball

Passing

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO defense
#102
JXST offense
#33
EPA comparison
0.26
#102
0.36
#33
Pass EPA

Rushing

GASO defense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO defense
#52
JXST offense
#85
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
0.07
#85
Rush EPA

Drive success

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO defense
#52
JXST offense
#38
Success rates
39%
#52
47%
#38
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#81
0.18
#54
EPA / play
1.15
#32
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
17%
#52
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia Southern
QBWeston Bryan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.782/729
LBMJ Stroud
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.4
Coverage
65.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
79.787/1796
DBJakyri Jones
29 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.6
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
49
Passer rating allowed
69.1
Missed tackles
4
76.5145/2969
RBTaeo Todd
48 yds · 0 TD · 2.7 YPC
74.1192/1044
DBChace Calicut
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
88.7
Coverage
64.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
62.5
Missed tackles
1
73.2268/2969
WRCam King
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
72.9172/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Ashton Hollins · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Hollins is liad up with a shoulder injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

Jacksonville State
QBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
82.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
43.5
Missed tackles
3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.4
Coverage
77.1
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GASO
JXST
vs
Offense
78.7
#63 of 138
QB
68.6
#108 of 138
73.2
#95 of 138
RB
73.8
#86 of 138
71.3
#70 of 138
WR
78.1
#17 of 138
66.0
#85 of 138
TE
72.3
#50 of 138
67.9
#68 of 138
OL
67.7
#70 of 138
Defense
67.9
#123 of 138
DL
70.9
#95 of 138
73.5
#75 of 138
LB
78.7
#32 of 138
71.7
#73 of 138
DB
77.3
#13 of 138
Common opponents