CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WKU 1.0%99.0% UGA
Projected margin
UGA by 36.3
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
UGA 17 to UGA 55
Win probability
UGA 99.0%
FinalWKU 20 · UGA 70model had +36.3, off by 13.7

Current team profiles

Western Kentucky
Georgia

When Western Kentucky has the ball

Passing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU offense
#114
UGA defense
#49
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU offense
#116
UGA defense
#5
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
-0.22
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU offense
#119
UGA defense
#27
Success rates
38%
#119
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#113
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.26
#54
1.23
#76
Explosiveness
15%
#84
19%
#24
Havoc

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU defense
#41
UGA offense
#3
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.62
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU defense
#137
UGA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.30
#137
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU defense
#82
UGA offense
#6
Success rates
42%
#82
52%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#118
0.40
#3
EPA / play
1.43
#133
1.28
#38
Explosiveness
14%
#106
12%
#24
Havoc

Current key players

Western Kentucky
QBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.2
Coverage
71.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.2
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
31
Passer rating allowed
119.6
Missed tackles
6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WKU
UGA
vs
Offense
63.6
#123 of 138
QB
92.5
#4 of 138
68.8
#125 of 138
RB
90.5
#2 of 138
69.8
#82 of 138
WR
82.8
#4 of 138
68.9
#70 of 138
TE
88.9
#4 of 138
63.7
#108 of 138
OL
75.5
#15 of 138
Defense
69.4
#114 of 138
DL
78.6
#20 of 138
70.4
#101 of 138
LB
81.2
#15 of 138
69.1
#110 of 138
DB
78.9
#5 of 138
Common opponents