CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET
#144Away
Western Kentucky
0-2 · AVR 46.5
0
Final
#1Home
Indiana
2-0 · AVR 85.1
38
Forecast win probability
WKU 0.4%99.6% IU
Projected margin
IU by 43.9
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
IU 25 to IU 63
Win probability
IU 99.6%
FinalWKU 0 · IU 38model had +43.9, off by 5.9

Current team profiles

Western Kentucky
Indiana

When Western Kentucky has the ball

Passing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU offense
#114
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU offense
#116
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU offense
#119
IU defense
#4
Success rates
38%
#119
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#113
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.26
#54
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
15%
#84
19%
#24
Havoc

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU defense
#41
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.65
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU defense
#137
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
0.30
#137
0.25
#17
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WKU defense
#82
IU offense
#24
Success rates
42%
#82
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#118
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.43
#133
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
14%
#106
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

Western Kentucky
QBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.2
Coverage
71.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.2
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
31
Passer rating allowed
119.6
Missed tackles
6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WKU
IU
vs
Offense
63.6
#123 of 138
QB
86.4
#31 of 138
68.8
#125 of 138
RB
85.2
#10 of 138
69.8
#82 of 138
WR
83.7
#2 of 138
68.9
#70 of 138
TE
59.0
#127 of 138
63.7
#108 of 138
OL
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
69.4
#114 of 138
DL
81.7
#8 of 138
70.4
#101 of 138
LB
76.9
#44 of 138
69.1
#110 of 138
DB
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents