Passing
MTSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #122
- MTSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.02
#122
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NEV 64.2%35.8% MTSU
- Projected margin
- NEV by 5.0
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- NEV 24 to MTSU 14
- Win probability
- NEV 64.2%
FinalNEV 20 · MTSU 27model had -5.0, off by 12.0
Current team profiles
NevadaMiddle TennesseeWhen Nevada has the ball
Rushing
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #35
- MTSU defense
- #132
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
0.24
#132
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #87
- MTSU defense
- #135
Success rates
42%
#87
51%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
0.21
#124
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.12
#27
Explosiveness
14%
#45
10%
#138
Havoc
When Middle Tennessee has the ball
Passing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #82
- MTSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.18
#82
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
MTSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #102
- MTSU offense
- #85
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.07
#85
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #60
- MTSU offense
- #118
Success rates
39%
#60
39%
#118
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
0.10
#90
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
13%
#122
14%
#67
Havoc
Current key players
NevadaQBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.9
- Coverage
- 52.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Penalties
- 0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 63.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
Middle TennesseeQBRoman Gagliano
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0241/729
WRCam'ron Lacy
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.635/2069
CBRicky Lee
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.0
- Coverage
- 79.0
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 106.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.7138/2969
CBJackson Lowe
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.9
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 18
- Yards allowed
- 203
- Passer rating allowed
- 127.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
73.7247/2969
CBJason Hardy
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 84
- Passer rating allowed
- 35.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
69.7464/2969
WRZiyon Butler
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8351/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NEVNevada
MTSUMiddle Tennessee
vs
Offense
71.3
#98 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#125 of 138
76.4
#61 of 138
RB
Running backs
64.2
#136 of 138
69.2
#91 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.9
#74 of 138
89.9
#3 of 138
TE
Tight ends
58.2
#131 of 138
65.0
#94 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.6
#109 of 138
Defense
67.7
#126 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#101 of 138
74.5
#65 of 138
LB
Linebackers
63.6
#136 of 138
72.7
#60 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.4
#76 of 138