Passing
No comparison
- MUR offense
- —
- MTSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MUR 5.8%94.2% MTSU
- Projected margin
- MTSU by 25.1
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- MTSU 5 to MTSU 46
- Win probability
- MTSU 94.2%
FinalMUR 14 · MTSU 38model had +25.1, off by 1.1
Current team profiles
Murray State
Middle TennesseeWhen Murray State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- MUR offense
- —
- MTSU defense
- #132
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#132
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MUR offense
- #58
- MTSU defense
- #135
Success rates
44%
#58
51%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#110
0.21
#124
EPA / play
0.20
#87
1.12
#27
Explosiveness
—
10%
#138
Havoc
When Middle Tennessee has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- MUR defense
- —
- MTSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- MUR defense
- —
- MTSU offense
- #85
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#85
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MUR defense
- #105
- MTSU offense
- #118
Success rates
47%
#105
39%
#118
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#95
0.10
#90
EPA / play
0.21
#81
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
—
14%
#67
Havoc
Current key players
Murray StateKCooper Ford
0 punts · 0.0 avg
80.56/416
RBTyrell Campbell
279 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.032/631
DBDax Pregeant
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 77.4
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 2
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.0111/1765
WRJaxon Potter
21 rec · 170 yds · 2 TD
75.070/1229
LBConlee Crossno
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 73.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
73.5134/1054
RBMykel Allen
234 yds · 3 TD · 4.0 YPC
73.4112/631
Middle TennesseeQBRoman Gagliano
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0241/729
WRCam'ron Lacy
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.635/2069
CBRicky Lee
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.0
- Coverage
- 79.0
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 106.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.7138/2969
CBJackson Lowe
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.9
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 18
- Yards allowed
- 203
- Passer rating allowed
- 127.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
73.7247/2969
CBJason Hardy
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 84
- Passer rating allowed
- 35.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
69.7464/2969
WRZiyon Butler
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8351/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MURMurray State
MTSUMiddle Tennessee
vs
Offense
61.5
#103 of 125
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#125 of 138
76.7
#26 of 126
RB
Running backs
64.2
#136 of 138
70.2
#54 of 126
WR
Receivers
70.9
#74 of 138
60.5
#88 of 124
TE
Tight ends
58.2
#131 of 138
62.0
#95 of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.6
#109 of 138
Defense
71.0
#60 of 126
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#101 of 138
69.8
#80 of 126
LB
Linebackers
63.6
#136 of 138
69.0
#93 of 126
DB
Secondary
71.4
#76 of 138