AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM
Away
Murray State
—
20p
#124Home
Middle Tennessee
0-0 · AVR 30.6
39p
MUR 10%90% MTSU
Spread
MTSU -18.8
Total
60
Moneyline
MUR+871MTSU-871
Against the market
MUR +1.7line MTSU -20.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Middle Tennessee
LBReggie Johnson
79.462/878
LBKorey Smith
56.1370/878
RBAntonio Martin
51.1261/514
SJames Johnson
49.4784/1427
WRAJ Jones
48.1370/777
WRCam'ron Lacy
46.6423/777

Projected margin

80% between -1 and 38
-14-7+7+14PKMTSU +18.8MKT95% interval: -10 to 4880% interval: -1 to 38-1+38MUR wins 10%MTSU wins 90%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ MTSU 42–21 MURMTSU 39–46 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 42–42 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 46–39 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 49–35 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 53–32 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 56–28 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 60–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 63–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 67–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesMTSU 35–42 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 39–39 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 42–35 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 46–32 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 49–28 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 53–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 56–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 60–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 63–14 MUR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMTSU 32–39 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 35–35 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 39–32 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 42–28 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 46–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 49–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 53–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 56–14 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 60–11 MUR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMTSU 28–35 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 32–32 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 35–28 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 39–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 42–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 46–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 49–14 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 53–11 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 56–7 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 25–32 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 28–28 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 32–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 35–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 39–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 42–14 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 46–11 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 49–7 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 53–4 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 21–28 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 25–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 28–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 32–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 35–14 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 39–11 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 42–7 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 46–4 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMTSU 49–0 MUR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMTSU 18–25 MUR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMTSU 21–21 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 25–18 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 28–14 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 32–11 MUR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMTSU 35–7 MUR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMTSU 39–4 MUR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMTSU 42–0 MUR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalMUR +7MTSU +7MTSU +21MTSU +35MTSU +49margin →