Passing
MTSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #108
- MTSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NMSU 50.7%49.3% MTSU
- Projected margin
- NMSU by 0.1
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- NMSU 19 to MTSU 18
- Win probability
- NMSU 50.7%
Current team profiles
New Mexico StateMiddle TennesseeWhen New Mexico State has the ball
Rushing
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #88
- MTSU defense
- #132
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.24
#132
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #99
- MTSU defense
- #135
Success rates
41%
#99
51%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#115
0.21
#124
EPA / play
1.38
#12
1.12
#27
Explosiveness
17%
#119
10%
#138
Havoc
When Middle Tennessee has the ball
Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #41
- MTSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #84
- MTSU offense
- #85
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.07
#85
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #67
- MTSU offense
- #118
Success rates
40%
#67
39%
#118
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
0.10
#90
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
14%
#97
14%
#67
Havoc
Current key players
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Middle TennesseeQBRoman Gagliano
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0241/729
WRCam'ron Lacy
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.635/2069
CBRicky Lee
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.0
- Coverage
- 79.0
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 106.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.7138/2969
CBJackson Lowe
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.9
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 18
- Yards allowed
- 203
- Passer rating allowed
- 127.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
73.7247/2969
CBJason Hardy
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 84
- Passer rating allowed
- 35.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
69.7464/2969
WRZiyon Butler
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8351/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NMSUNew Mexico State
MTSUMiddle Tennessee
vs
Offense
90.9
#13 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#125 of 138
77.6
#50 of 138
RB
Running backs
64.2
#136 of 138
72.3
#55 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.9
#74 of 138
75.9
#34 of 138
TE
Tight ends
58.2
#131 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.6
#109 of 138
Defense
74.3
#61 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#101 of 138
70.9
#98 of 138
LB
Linebackers
63.6
#136 of 138
76.8
#18 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.4
#76 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
New Mexico State
opponent
Middle Tennessee
Hhome+21.0
WKUWestern Kentucky#122-1.2Hhome
Aaway-19.0
FIUFlorida International#99-9.9Aaway
Hhome-7.2
LIBLiberty#77-15.3Aaway
Hhome-4.0
JXSTJacksonville State#103-10.0Aaway
Aaway+4.8
SHSUSam Houston#125+2.0Aaway
Hhome+0.9
DELDelaware#119-1.8Hhome