Passing
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #108
- SHSU defense
- #26
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.01
#26
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NMSU 62.4%37.6% SHSU
- Projected margin
- NMSU by 4.8
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- NMSU 23 to SHSU 14
- Win probability
- NMSU 62.4%
Current team profiles
New Mexico StateSam HoustonWhen New Mexico State has the ball
Rushing
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #88
- SHSU defense
- #134
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.26
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #99
- SHSU defense
- #95
Success rates
41%
#99
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#115
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.38
#12
1.22
#70
Explosiveness
17%
#119
20%
#18
Havoc
When Sam Houston has the ball
Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #41
- SHSU offense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.12
#98
Pass EPA
Rushing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #84
- SHSU offense
- #110
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.00
#110
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #67
- SHSU offense
- #96
Success rates
40%
#67
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
0.05
#107
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.28
#41
Explosiveness
14%
#97
18%
#122
Havoc
Current key players
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Sam HoustonQBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 85.4
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 7.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08
Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NMSUNew Mexico State
SHSUSam Houston
vs
Offense
90.9
#13 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.6
#17 of 138
77.6
#50 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.4
#71 of 138
72.3
#55 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.0
#80 of 138
75.9
#34 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.3
#102 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.6
#90 of 138
Defense
74.3
#61 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.7
#56 of 138
70.9
#98 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#47 of 138
76.8
#18 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.4
#52 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
New Mexico State
opponent
Sam Houston
Hhome+21.0
WKUWestern Kentucky#122-5.9Hhome
Hhome-7.2
LIBLiberty#77-32.0Aaway
Hhome-4.0
JXSTJacksonville State#103-16.7Aaway
Aaway-0.5
MOSTMissouri State#141-7.9Aaway
Aaway-19.0
FIUFlorida International#99-14.5Aaway
Aaway+0.1
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150-2.0Hhome