Passing
HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #108
- HAW defense
- #89
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.20
#89
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:59 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NMSU 41.3%58.7% HAW
- Projected margin
- HAW by 3.4
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- NMSU 17 to HAW 24
- Win probability
- HAW 58.7%
FinalNMSU 19 · HAW 29model had +3.4, off by 6.6
Current team profiles
New Mexico StateHawai'iWhen New Mexico State has the ball
Rushing
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #88
- HAW defense
- #128
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.21
#128
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #99
- HAW defense
- #125
Success rates
41%
#99
46%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#115
0.22
#125
EPA / play
1.38
#12
1.17
#41
Explosiveness
17%
#119
13%
#109
Havoc
When Hawai'i has the ball
Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #41
- HAW offense
- #114
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.07
#114
Pass EPA
Rushing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #84
- HAW offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #67
- HAW offense
- #115
Success rates
40%
#67
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
0.02
#118
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.13
#118
Explosiveness
14%
#97
17%
#112
Havoc
Current key players
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Hawai'iQBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 81.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 73.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03
Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05
Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t
- Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NMSUNew Mexico State
HAWHawai'i
vs
Offense
90.9
#13 of 138
QB
Quarterback
60.9
#129 of 138
77.6
#50 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.5
#69 of 138
72.3
#55 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.1
#78 of 138
75.9
#34 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#46 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
OL
Offensive line
58.5
#137 of 138
Defense
74.3
#61 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#73 of 138
70.9
#98 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.9
#27 of 138
76.8
#18 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.5
#115 of 138