Passing
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #108
- FIU defense
- #14
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
-0.05
#14
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Wed Oct 7 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NMSU 39.6%60.4% FIU
- Projected margin
- FIU by 3.7
- Projected total
- 45
- 80% outcome range
- NMSU 15 to FIU 24
- Win probability
- FIU 60.4%
FinalNMSU 3 · FIU 22model had +3.7, off by 15.3
Current team profiles
New Mexico StateFlorida InternationalWhen New Mexico State has the ball
Rushing
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #88
- FIU defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #99
- FIU defense
- #11
Success rates
41%
#99
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#115
-0.07
#14
EPA / play
1.38
#12
1.14
#28
Explosiveness
17%
#119
18%
#31
Havoc
When Florida International has the ball
Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #41
- FIU offense
- #107
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.10
#107
Pass EPA
Rushing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #84
- FIU offense
- #129
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #67
- FIU offense
- #115
Success rates
40%
#67
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
-0.01
#124
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.13
#116
Explosiveness
14%
#97
16%
#98
Havoc
Current key players
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Florida InternationalQBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.7
- Coverage
- 76.9
- Targets allowed
- 20
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.9
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.8
- Coverage
- 73.1
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 33.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob
- Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo
- Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NMSUNew Mexico State
FIUFlorida International
vs
Offense
90.9
#13 of 138
QB
Quarterback
72.7
#92 of 138
77.6
#50 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.8
#73 of 138
72.3
#55 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.2
#72 of 138
75.9
#34 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.0
#120 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.6
#118 of 138
Defense
74.3
#61 of 138
DL
Defensive line
76.1
#45 of 138
70.9
#98 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.9
#52 of 138
76.8
#18 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.6
#63 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
New Mexico State
opponent
Florida International
Aaway-0.5
MOSTMissouri State#141+9.3Hhome
Aaway+0.1
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150+9.9Hhome
Aaway+4.8
SHSUSam Houston#125+14.5Hhome
Hhome-7.2
LIBLiberty#77-8.1Aaway
Hhome+0.9
DELDelaware#119+0.1Aaway
Hhome-4.0
JXSTJacksonville State#103-4.8Aaway