Passing
No comparison
- MERC offense
- —
- UNM defense
- #13
EPA comparison
—
-0.06
#13
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MERC 0.2%99.8% UNM
- Projected margin
- UNM by 44.3
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- UNM 27 to UNM 63
- Win probability
- UNM 99.8%
FinalMERC 7 · UNM 70model had +44.3, off by 18.7
Current team profiles
Mercyhurst
New MexicoWhen Mercyhurst has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- MERC offense
- —
- UNM defense
- #18
EPA comparison
—
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MERC offense
- #73
- UNM defense
- #1
Success rates
43%
#73
31%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#97
-0.18
#2
EPA / play
0.20
#87
1.46
#136
Explosiveness
—
26%
#1
Havoc
When New Mexico has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- MERC defense
- —
- UNM offense
- #101
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- MERC defense
- —
- UNM offense
- #12
EPA comparison
—
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MERC defense
- #119
- UNM offense
- #73
Success rates
49%
#119
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#104
0.19
#52
EPA / play
0.23
#100
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
—
12%
#24
Havoc
Current key players
MercyhurstDBBraylon Beckwith
45 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.2
- Coverage
- 73.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 74
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.047/1765
LBCorey Cobb Jr.
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 71.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.480/1054
TECamden Lewis
12 rec · 112 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.8
- Run blocking
- 55.1
- Penalties
- 1
74.022/526
LBJordan Brown
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.9
- Coverage
- 71.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.6131/1054
KThomas O'Neill
34 punts · 0.0 avg
72.959/416
LBMaverick Clark
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.8
- Coverage
- 71.4
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.7196/1054
New MexicoQBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 93.4
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.0
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.4
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 22
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26
Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.
- Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02
Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11
Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27
Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20
Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20
Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MERCMercyhurst
UNMNew Mexico
vs
Offense
49.4
#124 of 125
QB
Quarterback
91.2
#8 of 138
67.0
#101 of 126
RB
Running backs
78.9
#41 of 138
63.4
#115 of 126
WR
Receivers
66.9
#123 of 138
74.0
#21 of 124
TE
Tight ends
71.3
#55 of 138
62.1
#92 of 125
OL
Offensive line
72.8
#29 of 138
Defense
66.3
#109 of 126
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#48 of 138
73.9
#39 of 126
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#60 of 138
69.0
#92 of 126
DB
Secondary
78.8
#6 of 138