CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNM 81.2%18.8% WYO
Projected margin
UNM by 14.0
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
UNM 33 to WYO 5
Win probability
UNM 81.2%

Current team profiles

New Mexico
Wyoming

When New Mexico has the ball

Passing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNM offense
#101
WYO defense
#89
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNM offense
#12
WYO defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNM offense
#73
WYO defense
#121
Success rates
43%
#73
46%
#121
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#52
0.14
#101
EPA / play
1.26
#52
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
12%
#24
15%
#93
Havoc

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNM defense
#13
WYO offense
#128
EPA comparison
-0.06
#13
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNM defense
#18
WYO offense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNM defense
#1
WYO offense
#69
Success rates
31%
#1
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
-0.18
#2
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.46
#136
1.02
#137
Explosiveness
26%
#1
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

New Mexico
QBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.8
Coverage
93.4
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.0
Coverage
66.2
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
76.1
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
77.2
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
22
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26

    Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.

  • Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11

    Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27

    Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20

    Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20

    Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNM
WYO
vs
Offense
91.2
#8 of 138
QB
67.9
#111 of 138
78.9
#41 of 138
RB
73.8
#85 of 138
66.9
#123 of 138
WR
58.4
#138 of 138
71.3
#55 of 138
TE
68.9
#71 of 138
72.8
#29 of 138
OL
66.6
#82 of 138
Defense
75.9
#48 of 138
DL
74.6
#57 of 138
74.8
#60 of 138
LB
68.5
#117 of 138
78.8
#6 of 138
DB
74.0
#46 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

New Mexico
opponent
Wyoming
H+54.0
UTEP#170
+2.1A
H+31.0
CMU#138
-14.0A
H+6.7
NDSU#61
-28.0A
H+9.2
UNLV#83
-12.8A
H+15.1
AF#74
-1.5H
A+14.4
SJSU#123
+3.0A
A+11.9
HAW#135
+17.0H