Passing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #130
- UNM defense
- #13
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
-0.06
#13
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CMU 40.4%59.6% UNM
- Projected margin
- UNM by 3.9
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- CMU 17 to UNM 24
- Win probability
- UNM 59.6%
FinalCMU 7 · UNM 38model had +3.9, off by 27.1
Current team profiles
Central MichiganNew MexicoWhen Central Michigan has the ball
Rushing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #45
- UNM defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #119
- UNM defense
- #1
Success rates
38%
#119
31%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#103
-0.18
#2
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.46
#136
Explosiveness
14%
#50
26%
#1
Havoc
When New Mexico has the ball
Passing
CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #71
- UNM offense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #107
- UNM offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #126
- UNM offense
- #73
Success rates
47%
#126
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#108
0.19
#52
EPA / play
1.11
#24
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
15%
#90
12%
#24
Havoc
Current key players
Central MichiganQBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.2
- Coverage
- 88.0
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 46.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.6
- Coverage
- 89.0
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 27
- Passer rating allowed
- 11.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.2
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 27.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 51.1
- Run blocking
- 70.6
- Penalties
- 0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15
VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10
VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17
New MexicoQBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 93.4
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.0
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.4
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 22
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26
Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.
- Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02
Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11
Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27
Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20
Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20
Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CMUCentral Michigan
UNMNew Mexico
vs
Offense
76.4
#76 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.2
#8 of 138
73.2
#94 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.9
#41 of 138
64.3
#133 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.9
#123 of 138
71.7
#53 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.3
#55 of 138
65.5
#92 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.8
#29 of 138
Defense
70.5
#99 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#48 of 138
67.5
#123 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#60 of 138
78.4
#8 of 138
DB
Secondary
78.8
#6 of 138