CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
#126Away
Wyoming
2-2 · AVR 50.0
0
Final
#63Home
North Dakota State
4-0 · AVR 62.1
28
Forecast win probability
WYO 8.8%91.2% NDSU
Projected margin
NDSU by 18.0
Projected total
40
80% outcome range
NDSU 2 to NDSU 35
Win probability
NDSU 91.2%
FinalWYO 0 · NDSU 28model had +18.0, off by 10.0

Current team profiles

Wyoming
North Dakota State

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#128
NDSU defense
#2
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
-0.15
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#55
NDSU defense
#10
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA

Drive success

NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#69
NDSU defense
#46
Success rates
44%
#69
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
-0.15
#4
EPA / play
1.02
#137
0.99
#3
Explosiveness
16%
#94
17%
#45
Havoc

When North Dakota State has the ball

Passing

NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#89
NDSU offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#107
NDSU offense
#93
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#121
NDSU offense
#91
Success rates
46%
#121
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#101
0.12
#81
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.28
#39
Explosiveness
15%
#93
14%
#59
Havoc

Current key players

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

North Dakota State
QBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
92.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
60.4
Missed tackles
0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.5
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
23
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.6
Coverage
76.2
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
  • Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09

    Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09

    Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .

  • Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .

  • Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .

  • Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .

  • Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WYO
NDSU
vs
Offense
67.9
#111 of 138
QB
86.9
#30 of 138
73.8
#85 of 138
RB
73.8
#87 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
WR
79.1
#14 of 138
68.9
#71 of 138
TE
72.4
#49 of 138
66.6
#82 of 138
OL
71.9
#35 of 138
Defense
74.6
#57 of 138
DL
77.3
#32 of 138
68.5
#117 of 138
LB
77.4
#42 of 138
74.0
#46 of 138
DB
79.5
#3 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Wyoming
opponent
North Dakota State
A+2.1
UTEP#170
+20.0H
H+10.0
NIU#145
+22.6H
H+17.0
HAW#135
+7.9A
H-1.5
AF#74
+6.0A
A+3.0
SJSU#123
+10.4A
H-14.0
UNM#33
-6.7A
A-12.8
UNLV#83
-6.0A