Passing
No comparison
- FOR offense
- —
- NDSU defense
- #2
EPA comparison
—
-0.15
#2
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FOR 0.5%99.5% NDSU
- Projected margin
- NDSU by 40.6
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- NDSU 20 to NDSU 61
- Win probability
- NDSU 99.5%
FinalFOR 0 · NDSU 38model had +40.6, off by 2.6
Current team profiles
Fordham
North Dakota StateWhen Fordham has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- FOR offense
- —
- NDSU defense
- #10
EPA comparison
—
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- FOR offense
- #58
- NDSU defense
- #46
Success rates
44%
#58
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#77
-0.15
#4
EPA / play
0.19
#93
0.99
#3
Explosiveness
—
17%
#45
Havoc
When North Dakota State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- FOR defense
- —
- NDSU offense
- #47
EPA comparison
—
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- FOR defense
- —
- NDSU offense
- #93
EPA comparison
—
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- FOR defense
- #119
- NDSU offense
- #91
Success rates
49%
#119
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#75
0.12
#81
EPA / play
0.22
#86
1.28
#39
Explosiveness
—
14%
#59
Havoc
Current key players
FordhamLBAndrew Osmun
58 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 65.5
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 35
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2116/1054
RBJamell James
348 yds · 4 TD · 6.7 YPC
73.7101/631
DBKemaury Tye
24 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.9
- Coverage
- 73.6
- Targets allowed
- 22
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
73.0231/1765
OLOwen Duetsch
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.7
- Run blocking
- 67.7
- Penalties
- 0
72.280/1368
OLCooper LaFond
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.0
- Run blocking
- 70.7
- Penalties
- 0
71.888/1368
DBJustin Johnson
28 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.5
- Coverage
- 72.6
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 18
- Yards allowed
- 249
- Passer rating allowed
- 135.8
- Missed tackles
- 7
70.1382/1765
North Dakota StateQBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 92.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.5
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.6
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
- Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09
Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09
Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FORFordham
NDSUNorth Dakota State
vs
Offense
52.1
#122 of 125
QB
Quarterback
86.9
#30 of 138
70.8
#69 of 126
RB
Running backs
73.8
#87 of 138
61.5
#123 of 126
WR
Receivers
79.1
#14 of 138
52.6
#121 of 124
TE
Tight ends
72.4
#49 of 138
66.7
#42 of 125
OL
Offensive line
71.9
#35 of 138
Defense
66.1
#112 of 126
DL
Defensive line
77.3
#32 of 138
67.9
#98 of 126
LB
Linebackers
77.4
#42 of 138
67.7
#109 of 126
DB
Secondary
79.5
#3 of 138