AVR
CFB Model
Rankings
Predictions
Projections
Players
Model
Search teams
/
2026
WK
1
All predictions
Week 1 · Sat Sep 5
· 3:30 PM
Away
Fordham
—
11
11
p
at
#81
Home
North Dakota State
1-0
· AVR 46.6
46
46
p
FOR 1%
99% NDSU
Spread
NDSU -35.2
Total
58
Moneyline
FOR
—
NDSU
—
Against the market
FOR +4.3
line NDSU -39.5
The range of outcomes
Projected margin
80% between 16 and 52
-14
-7
+7
+14
PK
NDSU +35.2
MKT
95% interval: 5 to 60
80% interval: 16 to 52
+16
+52
FOR wins 1%
NDSU wins 99%
Scorelines
Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈
NDSU 46–11 FOR
NDSU 42–35 FOR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomes
NDSU 46–32 FOR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomes
NDSU 49–28 FOR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomes
NDSU 53–25 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 56–21 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 60–18 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 63–14 FOR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomes
NDSU 67–11 FOR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomes
NDSU 70–7 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 39–32 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 42–28 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 46–25 FOR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomes
NDSU 49–21 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 53–18 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 56–14 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 60–11 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 63–7 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 67–4 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 35–28 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 39–25 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 42–21 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 46–18 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 49–14 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 53–11 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 56–7 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 60–4 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 63–0 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 32–25 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 35–21 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 39–18 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 42–14 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 46–11 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 49–7 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 53–4 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 56–0 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
impossible (total < margin)
NDSU 28–21 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 32–18 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 35–14 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 39–11 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 42–7 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 46–4 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 49–0 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
impossible (total < margin)
impossible (total < margin)
NDSU 25–18 FOR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomes
NDSU 28–14 FOR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomes
NDSU 32–11 FOR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomes
NDSU 35–7 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
NDSU 39–4 FOR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomes
NDSU 42–0 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
impossible (total < margin)
impossible (total < margin)
impossible (total < margin)
NDSU 21–14 FOR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomes
NDSU 25–11 FOR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomes
NDSU 28–7 FOR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomes
NDSU 32–4 FOR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomes
NDSU 35–0 FOR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomes
impossible (total < margin)
impossible (total < margin)
impossible (total < margin)
impossible (total < margin)
77
70
63
56
49
42
35
total
NDSU +7
NDSU +21
NDSU +35
NDSU +49
NDSU +63
margin →