Passing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #47
- SJSU defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NDSU 74.6%25.4% SJSU
- Projected margin
- NDSU by 10.4
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- NDSU 29 to SJSU 8
- Win probability
- NDSU 74.6%
Current team profiles
North Dakota State
San José StateWhen North Dakota State has the ball
Rushing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #93
- SJSU defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.11
#98
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #91
- SJSU defense
- #107
Success rates
42%
#91
44%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#81
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.28
#39
1.05
#9
Explosiveness
14%
#59
15%
#84
Havoc
When San José State has the ball
Passing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #2
- SJSU offense
- #62
EPA comparison
-0.15
#2
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #10
- SJSU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #46
- SJSU offense
- #102
Success rates
38%
#46
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#4
0.10
#89
EPA / play
0.99
#3
1.14
#113
Explosiveness
17%
#45
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
North Dakota StateQBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 92.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.5
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.6
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
- Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09
Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09
Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
San José StateQBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 80.0
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
- Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NDSUNorth Dakota State
SJSUSan José State
vs
Offense
86.9
#30 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.7
#117 of 138
73.8
#87 of 138
RB
Running backs
71.3
#108 of 138
79.1
#14 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.2
#105 of 138
72.4
#49 of 138
TE
Tight ends
51.2
#138 of 138
71.9
#35 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.4
#125 of 138
Defense
77.3
#32 of 138
DL
Defensive line
82.7
#6 of 138
77.4
#42 of 138
LB
Linebackers
67.2
#124 of 138
79.5
#3 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#56 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
North Dakota State
opponent
San José State
Hhome+28.0
WYOWyoming#126-3.0Hhome
Hhome+14.8
NEVNevada#109-3.6Aaway
Hhome+20.0
UTEPUTEP#170+1.6Aaway
Aaway+6.0
AFAir Force#74-7.2Aaway
Hhome+22.6
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+9.6Hhome
Aaway-6.7
UNMNew Mexico#33-14.4Hhome
Aaway+7.9
HAWHawai'i#135+4.0Aaway
Aaway-6.0
UNLVUNLV#83-7.9Hhome