Passing
No comparison
- MTST offense
- —
- NEV defense
- #82
EPA comparison
—
0.18
#82
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MTST 34.2%65.8% NEV
- Projected margin
- NEV by 5.8
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- MTST 16 to NEV 27
- Win probability
- NEV 65.8%
FinalMTST 20 · NEV 7model had +5.8, off by 18.8
Current team profiles
Montana State
NevadaWhen Montana State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- MTST offense
- —
- NEV defense
- #102
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MTST offense
- #1
- NEV defense
- #60
Success rates
54%
#1
39%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#5
0.12
#93
EPA / play
0.25
#4
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
—
13%
#122
Havoc
When Nevada has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- MTST defense
- —
- NEV offense
- #122
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#122
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- MTST defense
- —
- NEV offense
- #35
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MTST defense
- #77
- NEV offense
- #87
Success rates
45%
#77
42%
#87
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#35
0.10
#87
EPA / play
0.20
#63
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
—
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
Montana StateWRCarter Dahlke
23 rec · 371 yds · 3 TD
92.51/1229
DBKayden Steptoe
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Coverage
- 83.9
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.710/1765
DLZac Crews
24 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.4
- Pressures
- 23
- Pass-rush snaps
- 146
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
82.722/1549
DBCaden Dowler
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 66.4
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 14
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.731/1765
OLBraden Zimmer
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.7
- Run blocking
- 79.3
- Penalties
- 2
80.610/1368
WRDane Steel
25 rec · 430 yds · 5 TD
78.933/1229
NevadaQBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.9
- Coverage
- 52.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Penalties
- 0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 63.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MTSTMontana State
NEVNevada
vs
Offense
72.7
#59 of 125
QB
Quarterback
71.3
#98 of 138
75.7
#34 of 126
RB
Running backs
76.4
#61 of 138
80.0
#2 of 126
WR
Receivers
69.2
#91 of 138
74.6
#20 of 124
TE
Tight ends
89.9
#3 of 138
71.9
#15 of 125
OL
Offensive line
65.0
#94 of 138
Defense
75.6
#22 of 126
DL
Defensive line
67.7
#126 of 138
71.6
#59 of 126
LB
Linebackers
74.5
#65 of 138
78.7
#2 of 126
DB
Secondary
72.7
#60 of 138