AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sun Sep 13 · 2:30 AM
Away
Montana State
—
20p
#120Home
Nevada
0-0 · AVR 32.0
34p
MTST 17%83% NEV
Spread
NEV -13.4
Total
54
Moneyline
MTST+480NEV-480
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Nevada
DBBryson Snelling
64.8363/1427
DBJaylen Webb
64.7368/1427
DBBishop Turner
61.3449/1427
LBJeremy Naborne-Owens
54.5401/878
QBCarter Jones
54.3106/308
LBPoasa Utu
54.2403/878

Projected margin

80% between -3 and 30
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKNEV +13.495% interval: -9.6 to 36.480% interval: -3.3 to 30.1-3+30MTST wins 17%NEV wins 83%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ NEV 35–21 MTSTNEV 32–46 MTST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNEV 35–42 MTST neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesNEV 39–39 MTST neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesNEV 42–35 MTST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNEV 46–32 MTST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNEV 49–28 MTST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesNEV 53–25 MTST neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesNEV 56–21 MTST neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesNEV 60–18 MTST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNEV 28–42 MTST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNEV 32–39 MTST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNEV 35–35 MTST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesNEV 39–32 MTST neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesNEV 42–28 MTST neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesNEV 46–25 MTST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesNEV 49–21 MTST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNEV 53–18 MTST neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesNEV 56–14 MTST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNEV 25–39 MTST neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNEV 28–35 MTST neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesNEV 32–32 MTST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNEV 35–28 MTST neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesNEV 39–25 MTST neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesNEV 42–21 MTST neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesNEV 46–18 MTST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNEV 49–14 MTST neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesNEV 53–11 MTST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNEV 21–35 MTST neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNEV 25–32 MTST neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesNEV 28–28 MTST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesNEV 32–25 MTST neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesNEV 35–21 MTST neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesNEV 39–18 MTST neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNEV 42–14 MTST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNEV 46–11 MTST neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesNEV 49–7 MTST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNEV 18–32 MTST neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNEV 21–28 MTST neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesNEV 25–25 MTST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesNEV 28–21 MTST neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesNEV 32–18 MTST neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesNEV 35–14 MTST neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNEV 39–11 MTST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNEV 42–7 MTST neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesNEV 46–4 MTST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNEV 14–28 MTST neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNEV 18–25 MTST neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesNEV 21–21 MTST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNEV 25–18 MTST neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesNEV 28–14 MTST neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNEV 32–11 MTST neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesNEV 35–7 MTST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNEV 39–4 MTST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNEV 42–0 MTST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNEV 11–25 MTST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNEV 14–21 MTST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNEV 18–18 MTST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNEV 21–14 MTST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesNEV 25–11 MTST neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesNEV 28–7 MTST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNEV 32–4 MTST neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesNEV 35–0 MTST neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalMTST +14PKNEV +14NEV +28NEV +42margin →