Montana State

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in 23% of runs.

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Wk	Opponent	Result	Projected	Win prob
1	at#246Utah Tech	W54–0	+31.1	95%
1	vs#192Butler	W51–24	+41.7	99%
3	vs#209Central Connecticut	W35–30	+29.5	96%
4	vs#148Northern Arizona	W28–14	+23.4	92%
5	at#159Idaho	L34–35	+19.3	88%
7	at#154Eastern WashingtonWin chance 86% · Margin 17.9	—	+17.9	86%
8	vs#197Weber StateWin chance 95% · Margin 26.8	—	+26.8	95%
9	vs#173Cal PolyWin chance 93% · Margin 24.8	—	+24.8	93%
10	at#143Idaho StateWin chance 80% · Margin 13.8	—	+13.8	80%
11	at#189Northern ColoradoWin chance 91% · Margin 22.0	—	+22.0	91%
12	vs#129MontanaWin chance 71% · Margin 9.1	—	+9.1	71%

Roster and position units

Roster mean 75.4 · Offense 74.9 · Defense 75.9

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.