CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
NEV 8.0%92.0% UCLA
Projected margin
UCLA by 21.7
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
UCLA 3 to UCLA 40
Win probability
UCLA 92.0%

Current team profiles

Nevada
UCLA

When Nevada has the ball

Passing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEV offense
#122
UCLA defense
#5
EPA comparison
0.02
#122
-0.12
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEV offense
#35
UCLA defense
#1
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.24
#1
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEV offense
#87
UCLA defense
#5
Success rates
42%
#87
32%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
-0.20
#1
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
14%
#45
21%
#11
Havoc

When UCLA has the ball

Passing

NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEV defense
#82
UCLA offense
#98
EPA comparison
0.18
#82
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEV defense
#102
UCLA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEV defense
#60
UCLA offense
#44
Success rates
39%
#60
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.23
#72
Explosiveness
13%
#122
14%
#63
Havoc

Current key players

Nevada
QBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
49.9
Coverage
52.3
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Penalties
0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.3
Coverage
63.4
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
UCLA
QBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
120.1
Missed tackles
3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NEV
UCLA
vs
Offense
71.3
#98 of 138
QB
64.9
#120 of 138
76.4
#61 of 138
RB
86.0
#7 of 138
69.2
#91 of 138
WR
74.0
#43 of 138
89.9
#3 of 138
TE
61.1
#110 of 138
65.0
#94 of 138
OL
69.3
#57 of 138
Defense
67.7
#126 of 138
DL
80.0
#16 of 138
74.5
#65 of 138
LB
84.2
#8 of 138
72.7
#60 of 138
DB
75.2
#31 of 138
Common opponents