Passing
NIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #122
- NIU defense
- #89
EPA comparison
0.02
#122
0.20
#89
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
NEV 63.5%36.5% NIU
- Projected margin
- NEV by 5.2
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- NEV 24 to NIU 13
- Win probability
- NEV 63.5%
Current team profiles
NevadaNorthern IllinoisWhen Nevada has the ball
Rushing
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #35
- NIU defense
- #131
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
0.23
#131
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #87
- NIU defense
- #131
Success rates
42%
#87
49%
#131
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
0.20
#121
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.20
#54
Explosiveness
14%
#45
10%
#136
Havoc
When Northern Illinois has the ball
Passing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #82
- NIU offense
- #123
EPA comparison
0.18
#82
0.00
#123
Pass EPA
Rushing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #102
- NIU offense
- #137
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
-0.13
#137
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #60
- NIU offense
- #125
Success rates
39%
#60
37%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
-0.12
#135
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.14
#110
Explosiveness
13%
#122
17%
#112
Havoc
Current key players
NevadaQBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.9
- Coverage
- 52.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Penalties
- 0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 63.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
Northern IllinoisQBBrady Davidson
27 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.3166/729
DBAaron Warren
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.5
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
82.839/2969
LBJashawn Nelson
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.195/1796
RBJaidaun Cranford
59 yds · 0 TD · 7.4 YPC
74.6185/1044
CBYassine Falke
13 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.1
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 30.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.7404/2969
WRDeAree Rogers
31 rec · 252 yds · 2 TD
69.9273/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Glen Weber · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Weber is battling with an undisclosed injury, and his status is unknown against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Da'sean Howard · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Howard is suffering with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NEVNevada
NIUNorthern Illinois
vs
Offense
71.3
#98 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.3
#104 of 138
76.4
#61 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.5
#103 of 138
69.2
#91 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.4
#117 of 138
89.9
#3 of 138
TE
Tight ends
65.0
#90 of 138
65.0
#94 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.8
#97 of 138
Defense
67.7
#126 of 138
DL
Defensive line
64.5
#137 of 138
74.5
#65 of 138
LB
Linebackers
69.3
#109 of 138
72.7
#60 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.9
#100 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Nevada
opponent
Northern Illinois
Hhome-3.0
AFAir Force#74-21.0Hhome
Aaway+17.0
UTEPUTEP#1700.0Hhome
Hhome+3.6
SJSUSan José State#123-9.6Aaway
Aaway-14.8
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-22.6Aaway
Hhome+1.1
HAWHawai'i#135-6.7Hhome
Aaway-12.3
UNLVUNLV#83-20.1Aaway