Passing
NIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW offense
- #114
- NIU defense
- #89
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.20
#89
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
HAW 66.5%33.5% NIU
- Projected margin
- HAW by 6.7
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- HAW 25 to NIU 12
- Win probability
- HAW 66.5%
Current team profiles
Hawai'iNorthern IllinoisWhen Hawai'i has the ball
Rushing
HAW offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW offense
- #116
- NIU defense
- #131
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.23
#131
Rush EPA
Drive success
HAW offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW offense
- #115
- NIU defense
- #131
Success rates
39%
#115
49%
#131
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#118
0.20
#121
EPA / play
1.13
#118
1.20
#54
Explosiveness
17%
#112
10%
#136
Havoc
When Northern Illinois has the ball
Passing
HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW defense
- #89
- NIU offense
- #123
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.00
#123
Pass EPA
Rushing
HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW defense
- #128
- NIU offense
- #137
EPA comparison
0.21
#128
-0.13
#137
Rush EPA
Drive success
Same rank
- HAW defense
- #125
- NIU offense
- #125
Success rates
46%
#125
37%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#125
-0.12
#135
EPA / play
1.17
#41
1.14
#110
Explosiveness
13%
#109
17%
#112
Havoc
Current key players
Hawai'iQBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 81.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 73.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03
Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05
Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t
- Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
Northern IllinoisQBBrady Davidson
27 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.3166/729
DBAaron Warren
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.5
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
82.839/2969
LBJashawn Nelson
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.195/1796
RBJaidaun Cranford
59 yds · 0 TD · 7.4 YPC
74.6185/1044
CBYassine Falke
13 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.1
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 30.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.7404/2969
WRDeAree Rogers
31 rec · 252 yds · 2 TD
69.9273/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Glen Weber · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Weber is battling with an undisclosed injury, and his status is unknown against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Da'sean Howard · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Howard is suffering with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HAWHawai'i
NIUNorthern Illinois
vs
Offense
60.9
#129 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.3
#104 of 138
75.5
#69 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.5
#103 of 138
70.1
#78 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.4
#117 of 138
72.7
#46 of 138
TE
Tight ends
65.0
#90 of 138
58.5
#137 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.8
#97 of 138
Defense
72.8
#73 of 138
DL
Defensive line
64.5
#137 of 138
78.9
#27 of 138
LB
Linebackers
69.3
#109 of 138
68.5
#115 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.9
#100 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Hawai'i
opponent
Northern Illinois
Hhome-7.9
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-22.6Aaway
Aaway-17.0
WYOWyoming#126-10.0Aaway
Hhome-4.0
SJSUSan José State#123-9.6Aaway
Hhome-15.0
UNLVUNLV#83-20.1Aaway
Aaway+4.1
UTEPUTEP#1700.0Hhome
Aaway-1.1
NEVNevada#109-5.2Hhome