CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
HAW 60.0%40.0% UTEP
Projected margin
HAW by 4.1
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
HAW 23 to UTEP 14
Win probability
HAW 60.0%

Current team profiles

Hawai'i
UTEP

When Hawai'i has the ball

Passing

HAW offense
Higher-ranked profile
HAW offense
#114
UTEP defense
#137
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.48
#137
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTEP defense
Higher-ranked profile
HAW offense
#116
UTEP defense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

HAW offense
Higher-ranked profile
HAW offense
#115
UTEP defense
#127
Success rates
39%
#115
47%
#127
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#118
0.24
#128
EPA / play
1.13
#118
1.22
#71
Explosiveness
17%
#112
13%
#117
Havoc

When UTEP has the ball

Passing

HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
HAW defense
#89
UTEP offense
#136
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
-0.18
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
HAW defense
#128
UTEP offense
#132
EPA comparison
0.21
#128
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
HAW defense
#125
UTEP offense
#135
Success rates
46%
#125
33%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#125
-0.18
#138
EPA / play
1.17
#41
1.28
#39
Explosiveness
13%
#109
23%
#137
Havoc

Current key players

Hawai'i
QBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
81.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
73.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
71.8
Missed tackles
2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03

    Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05

    Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t

  • Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

UTEP
QBEJ Colson Jr.
541 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
60.2270/729
SKane White-Tinsley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
78.780/2969
CBTJ Tillman
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
76.7141/2969
CBDecorian Thompson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
32
Passer rating allowed
68.8
Missed tackles
1
73.8243/2969
LBVashon Brunswick II
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
70.0370/1796
LBGarrett Hawkins
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
86.3
Coverage
50.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
69.9374/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • EJ Colson Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Colson Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Simon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Simon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Ferguson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

HAW
UTEP
vs
Offense
60.9
#129 of 138
QB
60.2
#131 of 138
75.5
#69 of 138
RB
63.0
#138 of 138
70.1
#78 of 138
WR
68.3
#103 of 138
72.7
#46 of 138
TE
60.0
#121 of 138
58.5
#137 of 138
OL
63.8
#106 of 138
Defense
72.8
#73 of 138
DL
71.2
#94 of 138
78.9
#27 of 138
LB
69.3
#108 of 138
68.5
#115 of 138
DB
74.1
#44 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Hawai'i
opponent
UTEP
H-11.9
UNM#33
-54.0A
A-1.1
NEV#109
-17.0H
A-17.0
WYO#126
-2.1H
H-7.9
NDSU#61
-20.0A
A+6.7
NIU#145
0.0A
H-4.0
SJSU#123
-1.6H