Passing
HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #101
- HAW defense
- #89
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.20
#89
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Island Showdown Trophy
Forecast win probability
UNLV 44.6%55.4% HAW
- Projected margin
- HAW by 2.2
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- UNLV 18 to HAW 23
- Win probability
- HAW 55.4%
FinalUNLV 21 · HAW 6model had +2.2, off by 17.2
Current team profiles
UNLVHawai'iWhen UNLV has the ball
Rushing
UNLV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #88
- HAW defense
- #128
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.21
#128
Rush EPA
Drive success
HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #126
- HAW defense
- #125
Success rates
37%
#126
46%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#104
0.22
#125
EPA / play
1.26
#49
1.17
#41
Explosiveness
16%
#88
13%
#109
Havoc
When Hawai'i has the ball
Passing
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #38
- HAW offense
- #114
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.07
#114
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #68
- HAW offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #50
- HAW offense
- #115
Success rates
38%
#50
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#50
0.02
#118
EPA / play
1.24
#80
1.13
#118
Explosiveness
17%
#49
17%
#112
Havoc
Current key players
UNLVQBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.6
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 104.5
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.7
- Run blocking
- 78.5
- Penalties
- 1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 71.5
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 87.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
- Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
- DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
Hawai'iQBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 81.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 73.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03
Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05
Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t
- Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNLVUNLV
HAWHawai'i
vs
Offense
78.9
#61 of 138
QB
Quarterback
60.9
#129 of 138
70.9
#112 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.5
#69 of 138
68.3
#101 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.1
#78 of 138
75.5
#35 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#46 of 138
61.0
#128 of 138
OL
Offensive line
58.5
#137 of 138
Defense
70.2
#105 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#73 of 138
64.2
#135 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.9
#27 of 138
70.0
#98 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.5
#115 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UNLV
opponent
Hawai'i
Hhome+12.8
WYOWyoming#126-17.0Aaway
Hhome+6.0
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-7.9Hhome
Hhome+20.1
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+6.7Aaway
Hhome+12.3
NEVNevada#109-1.1Aaway
Aaway+7.9
SJSUSan José State#123-4.0Hhome
Aaway-9.2
UNMNew Mexico#33-11.9Hhome