Passing
No comparison
- CP offense
- —
- SJSU defense
- #52
EPA comparison
—
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CP 6.6%93.4% SJSU
- Projected margin
- SJSU by 25.9
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- SJSU 3 to SJSU 49
- Win probability
- SJSU 93.4%
FinalCP 20 · SJSU 30model had +25.9, off by 15.9
Current team profiles
Cal Poly
San José StateWhen Cal Poly has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- CP offense
- —
- SJSU defense
- #98
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#98
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- CP offense
- #33
- SJSU defense
- #107
Success rates
46%
#33
44%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#44
0.05
#60
EPA / play
0.21
#48
1.05
#9
Explosiveness
—
15%
#84
Havoc
When San José State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- CP defense
- —
- SJSU offense
- #62
EPA comparison
—
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- CP defense
- —
- SJSU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- CP defense
- #99
- SJSU offense
- #102
Success rates
47%
#99
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#114
0.10
#89
EPA / play
0.21
#73
1.14
#113
Explosiveness
—
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
Cal PolyQBLucas Razore
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.560/370
RBJaden Green
782 yds · 5 TD · 6.9 YPC
79.739/631
WRTayvion McCoy
34 rec · 490 yds · 4 TD
77.445/1229
DBLogan Carpenter
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 77.6
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.291/1765
LBShane Ramstad
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.776/1054
LBKenny Olson
61 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.4
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 43
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
76.283/1054
San José StateQBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 80.0
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
- Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CPCal Poly
SJSUSan José State
vs
Offense
76.5
#46 of 125
QB
Quarterback
65.7
#117 of 138
77.8
#21 of 126
RB
Running backs
71.3
#108 of 138
71.2
#38 of 126
WR
Receivers
68.2
#105 of 138
61.1
#85 of 124
TE
Tight ends
51.2
#138 of 138
69.0
#26 of 125
OL
Offensive line
61.4
#125 of 138
Defense
68.7
#88 of 126
DL
Defensive line
82.7
#6 of 138
75.2
#28 of 126
LB
Linebackers
67.2
#124 of 138
72.2
#52 of 126
DB
Secondary
73.0
#56 of 138