Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #31
- SJSU defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.37
#31
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
- Projected margin
- FRES by 4.0
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- FRES 24 to SJSU 16
- Win probability
- FRES 59.6%
FinalFRES 26 · SJSU 10model had -4.0, off by 12.0
Current team profiles
Fresno State
San José StateWhen Fresno State has the ball
Rushing
SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #113
- SJSU defense
- #98
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
0.11
#98
Rush EPA
Drive success
SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #108
- SJSU defense
- #107
Success rates
39%
#108
44%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#72
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.35
#17
1.05
#9
Explosiveness
13%
#31
15%
#84
Havoc
When San José State has the ball
Passing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #49
- SJSU offense
- #62
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #56
- SJSU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #83
- SJSU offense
- #102
Success rates
42%
#83
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#51
0.10
#89
EPA / play
1.17
#43
1.14
#113
Explosiveness
15%
#93
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
San José StateQBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 80.0
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
- Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FRESFresno State
SJSUSan José State
vs
Offense
69.6
#102 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.7
#117 of 138
77.3
#52 of 138
RB
Running backs
71.3
#108 of 138
79.1
#13 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.2
#105 of 138
64.3
#95 of 138
TE
Tight ends
51.2
#138 of 138
59.1
#136 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.4
#125 of 138
Defense
72.0
#87 of 138
DL
Defensive line
82.7
#6 of 138
72.3
#85 of 138
LB
Linebackers
67.2
#124 of 138
75.5
#28 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#56 of 138