CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 6:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SJSU 27.5%72.5% EMU
Projected margin
EMU by 9.6
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
SJSU 11 to EMU 30
Win probability
EMU 72.5%
FinalSJSU 27 · EMU 21model had +9.6, off by 15.6

Current team profiles

San José State
Eastern Michigan

When San José State has the ball

Passing

SJSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU offense
#62
EMU defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU offense
#113
EMU defense
#68
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU offense
#102
EMU defense
#91
Success rates
40%
#102
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#89
0.13
#100
EPA / play
1.14
#113
1.23
#75
Explosiveness
15%
#79
18%
#39
Havoc

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU defense
#52
EMU offense
#84
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.16
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU defense
#98
EMU offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU defense
#107
EMU offense
#98
Success rates
44%
#107
41%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
0.06
#102
EPA / play
1.05
#9
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
15%
#84
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

San José State
QBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
80.0
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
71.0
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
54
Passer rating allowed
55.6
Missed tackles
5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SJSU
EMU
vs
Offense
65.7
#117 of 138
QB
59.7
#133 of 138
71.3
#108 of 138
RB
76.0
#65 of 138
68.2
#105 of 138
WR
67.4
#116 of 138
51.2
#138 of 138
TE
63.7
#99 of 138
61.4
#125 of 138
OL
62.8
#115 of 138
Defense
82.7
#6 of 138
DL
76.8
#38 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
LB
62.8
#137 of 138
73.0
#56 of 138
DB
77.5
#11 of 138
Common opponents