Passing
SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #101
- SJSU defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNLV 69.2%30.8% SJSU
- Projected margin
- UNLV by 7.9
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- UNLV 26 to SJSU 11
- Win probability
- UNLV 69.2%
Current team profiles
UNLVSan José StateWhen UNLV has the ball
Rushing
UNLV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #88
- SJSU defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.11
#98
Rush EPA
Drive success
SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #126
- SJSU defense
- #107
Success rates
37%
#126
44%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#104
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.26
#49
1.05
#9
Explosiveness
16%
#88
15%
#84
Havoc
When San José State has the ball
Passing
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #38
- SJSU offense
- #62
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #68
- SJSU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #50
- SJSU offense
- #102
Success rates
38%
#50
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#50
0.10
#89
EPA / play
1.24
#80
1.14
#113
Explosiveness
17%
#49
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
UNLVQBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.6
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 104.5
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.7
- Run blocking
- 78.5
- Penalties
- 1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 71.5
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 87.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
- Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
- DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
San José StateQBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 80.0
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
- Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNLVUNLV
SJSUSan José State
vs
Offense
78.9
#61 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.7
#117 of 138
70.9
#112 of 138
RB
Running backs
71.3
#108 of 138
68.3
#101 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.2
#105 of 138
75.5
#35 of 138
TE
Tight ends
51.2
#138 of 138
61.0
#128 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.4
#125 of 138
Defense
70.2
#105 of 138
DL
Defensive line
82.7
#6 of 138
64.2
#135 of 138
LB
Linebackers
67.2
#124 of 138
70.0
#98 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#56 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UNLV
opponent
San José State
Hhome+6.0
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-10.4Hhome
Hhome+12.3
NEVNevada#109-3.6Aaway
Hhome+12.8
WYOWyoming#126-3.0Hhome
Aaway+15.0
HAWHawai'i#135+4.0Aaway
Hhome+20.1
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+9.6Hhome
Aaway+3.3
AFAir Force#74-7.2Aaway
Aaway-9.2
UNMNew Mexico#33-14.4Hhome