CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SJSU 53.5%46.5% UTEP
Projected margin
SJSU by 1.6
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
SJSU 20 to UTEP 17
Win probability
SJSU 53.5%

Current team profiles

San José State
UTEP

When San José State has the ball

Passing

SJSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU offense
#62
UTEP defense
#137
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.48
#137
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTEP defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU offense
#113
UTEP defense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

SJSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU offense
#102
UTEP defense
#127
Success rates
40%
#102
47%
#127
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#89
0.24
#128
EPA / play
1.14
#113
1.22
#71
Explosiveness
15%
#79
13%
#117
Havoc

When UTEP has the ball

Passing

SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU defense
#52
UTEP offense
#136
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
-0.18
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU defense
#98
UTEP offense
#132
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SJSU defense
#107
UTEP offense
#135
Success rates
44%
#107
33%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
-0.18
#138
EPA / play
1.05
#9
1.28
#39
Explosiveness
15%
#84
23%
#137
Havoc

Current key players

San José State
QBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
80.0
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
71.0
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
54
Passer rating allowed
55.6
Missed tackles
5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.

UTEP
QBEJ Colson Jr.
541 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
60.2270/729
SKane White-Tinsley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
78.780/2969
CBTJ Tillman
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
76.7141/2969
CBDecorian Thompson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
32
Passer rating allowed
68.8
Missed tackles
1
73.8243/2969
LBVashon Brunswick II
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
70.0370/1796
LBGarrett Hawkins
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
86.3
Coverage
50.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
69.9374/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • EJ Colson Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Colson Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Simon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Simon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Ferguson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SJSU
UTEP
vs
Offense
65.7
#117 of 138
QB
60.2
#131 of 138
71.3
#108 of 138
RB
63.0
#138 of 138
68.2
#105 of 138
WR
68.3
#103 of 138
51.2
#138 of 138
TE
60.0
#121 of 138
61.4
#125 of 138
OL
63.8
#106 of 138
Defense
82.7
#6 of 138
DL
71.2
#94 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
LB
69.3
#108 of 138
73.0
#56 of 138
DB
74.1
#44 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

San José State
opponent
UTEP
H-14.4
UNM#33
-54.0A
A-3.6
NEV#109
-17.0H
H+9.6
NIU#145
0.0A
H-10.4
NDSU#61
-20.0A
A+4.0
HAW#135
-4.1H
A-7.2
AF#74
-11.5A
H-3.0
WYO#126
-2.1H