Passing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #5
- UNLV defense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.56
#5
0.06
#38
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 0 · Sat Aug 29 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MEM 59.7%40.3% UNLV
- Projected margin
- MEM by 4.0
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- MEM 24 to UNLV 17
- Win probability
- MEM 59.7%
FinalMEM 27 · UNLV 21model had -4.0, off by 2.0
Current team profiles
Memphis
UNLVWhen Memphis has the ball
Rushing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #25
- UNLV defense
- #68
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
0.04
#68
Rush EPA
Drive success
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #17
- UNLV defense
- #50
Success rates
50%
#17
38%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.02
#50
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.24
#80
Explosiveness
11%
#14
17%
#49
Havoc
When UNLV has the ball
Passing
MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #26
- UNLV offense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNLV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #119
- UNLV offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.06
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #62
- UNLV offense
- #126
Success rates
40%
#62
37%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#72
0.06
#104
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.26
#49
Explosiveness
17%
#57
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
MemphisQBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.1
- Coverage
- 73.9
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 54.9
- Run blocking
- 44.5
- Penalties
- 0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.5
- Coverage
- 72.4
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 43
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
UNLVQBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.6
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 104.5
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.7
- Run blocking
- 78.5
- Penalties
- 1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 71.5
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 87.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
- Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
- DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MEMMemphis
UNLVUNLV
vs
Offense
85.4
#38 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.9
#61 of 138
87.3
#5 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.9
#112 of 138
68.2
#104 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.3
#101 of 138
77.3
#32 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.5
#35 of 138
67.2
#75 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.0
#128 of 138
Defense
69.7
#111 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.2
#105 of 138
75.3
#57 of 138
LB
Linebackers
64.2
#135 of 138
70.9
#83 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.0
#98 of 138