CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
#100Away
UNLV
1-2 · AVR 54.7
38
Final
#133Home
Akron
1-2 · AVR 48.0
10
Forecast win probability
UNLV 64.5%35.5% AKR
Projected margin
UNLV by 4.7
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
UNLV 25 to AKR 14
Win probability
UNLV 64.5%
FinalUNLV 38 · AKR 10model had -4.7, off by 23.3

Current team profiles

UNLV
Akron

When UNLV has the ball

Passing

UNLV offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNLV offense
#101
AKR defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNLV offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNLV offense
#88
AKR defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

AKR defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNLV offense
#126
AKR defense
#112
Success rates
37%
#126
45%
#112
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#104
0.25
#132
EPA / play
1.26
#49
1.31
#108
Explosiveness
16%
#88
13%
#117
Havoc

When Akron has the ball

Passing

UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNLV defense
#38
AKR offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNLV defense
#68
AKR offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNLV defense
#50
AKR offense
#77
Success rates
38%
#50
43%
#77
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#50
0.09
#92
EPA / play
1.24
#80
1.08
#131
Explosiveness
17%
#49
19%
#129
Havoc

Current key players

UNLV
QBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.6
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
158
Passer rating allowed
104.5
Missed tackles
4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.7
Run blocking
78.5
Penalties
1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.3
Coverage
71.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
87.5
Missed tackles
0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
  • Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.

  • DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.

Akron
QBCibastian Broughton
380 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
69.0172/729
LBDonelius Johnson
41 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.265/1796
DBCatrell White
7 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5107/2969
CBDawayne Galloway Jr.
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.8164/2969
DBKhory Moss
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.6205/2969
RBJordan Gant
289 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
72.6237/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Paul Davis · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October

  • Cibastian Broughton · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Sivon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th

  • Cameron Monteiro · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Monteiro is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chris Gee · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaborree Riggins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNLV
AKR
vs
Offense
78.9
#61 of 138
QB
69.0
#106 of 138
70.9
#112 of 138
RB
70.3
#117 of 138
68.3
#101 of 138
WR
69.5
#87 of 138
75.5
#35 of 138
TE
58.8
#129 of 138
61.0
#128 of 138
OL
68.2
#66 of 138
Defense
70.2
#105 of 138
DL
70.6
#97 of 138
64.2
#135 of 138
LB
70.2
#105 of 138
70.0
#98 of 138
DB
72.2
#68 of 138
Common opponents