CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WYO 20.4%79.6% UNLV
Projected margin
UNLV by 12.8
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
WYO 6 to UNLV 31
Win probability
UNLV 79.6%

Current team profiles

Wyoming
UNLV

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#128
UNLV defense
#38
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.06
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#55
UNLV defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#69
UNLV defense
#50
Success rates
44%
#69
38%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
0.02
#50
EPA / play
1.02
#137
1.24
#80
Explosiveness
16%
#94
17%
#49
Havoc

When UNLV has the ball

Passing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#89
UNLV offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNLV offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#107
UNLV offense
#88
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.06
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#121
UNLV offense
#126
Success rates
46%
#121
37%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#101
0.06
#104
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.26
#49
Explosiveness
15%
#93
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

UNLV
QBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.6
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
158
Passer rating allowed
104.5
Missed tackles
4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.7
Run blocking
78.5
Penalties
1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.3
Coverage
71.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
87.5
Missed tackles
0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
  • Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.

  • DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WYO
UNLV
vs
Offense
67.9
#111 of 138
QB
78.9
#61 of 138
73.8
#85 of 138
RB
70.9
#112 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
WR
68.3
#101 of 138
68.9
#71 of 138
TE
75.5
#35 of 138
66.6
#82 of 138
OL
61.0
#128 of 138
Defense
74.6
#57 of 138
DL
70.2
#105 of 138
68.5
#117 of 138
LB
64.2
#135 of 138
74.0
#46 of 138
DB
70.0
#98 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Wyoming
opponent
UNLV
A-28.0
NDSU#61
+6.0H
H+10.0
NIU#145
+20.1H
A+3.0
SJSU#123
+7.9A
H-14.0
UNM#33
-9.2A
H-1.5
AF#74
+3.3A
H+17.0
HAW#135
+15.0A