CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TEM 19.7%80.3% MEM
Projected margin
MEM by 13.1
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
TEM 6 to MEM 32
Win probability
MEM 80.3%

Current team profiles

Temple
Memphis

When Temple has the ball

Passing

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#47
MEM defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

TEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#51
MEM defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#77
MEM defense
#62
Success rates
43%
#77
40%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#48
0.06
#72
EPA / play
1.22
#80
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
11%
#20
17%
#57
Havoc

When Memphis has the ball

Passing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#107
MEM offense
#5
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.56
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#112
MEM offense
#25
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.22
#25
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#122
MEM offense
#17
Success rates
46%
#122
50%
#17
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#119
0.28
#22
EPA / play
1.18
#51
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
10%
#137
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

Temple
QBAjani Sheppard
631 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
78.583/729
LBTyree Alualu
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.3
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.310/1796
LBJordan Montgomery
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.6
Coverage
64.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
88.418/1796
CBEarl Kulp
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
72.9
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.5175/2969
RBKeveun Mason
361 yds · 2 TD · 5.3 YPC
75.0178/1044
CBAdrian Laing
10 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
128
Passer rating allowed
78.0
Missed tackles
1
70.5413/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Coen Logan · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Logan is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rameir Hardy · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hardy is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaxon Smolik · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smolik is suffering with a foot injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Reis Stocksdale · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stocksdale is dealing with a hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Samuel Brown V · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is suffering with a undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

Memphis
QBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
73.9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
54.9
Run blocking
44.5
Penalties
0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.5
Coverage
72.4
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
73.6
Missed tackles
0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

TEM
MEM
vs
Offense
78.5
#65 of 138
QB
85.4
#38 of 138
71.3
#109 of 138
RB
87.3
#5 of 138
64.7
#131 of 138
WR
68.2
#104 of 138
66.5
#84 of 138
TE
77.3
#32 of 138
67.6
#72 of 138
OL
67.2
#75 of 138
Defense
72.7
#75 of 138
DL
69.7
#111 of 138
84.8
#5 of 138
LB
75.3
#57 of 138
70.2
#93 of 138
DB
70.9
#83 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Temple
opponent
Memphis
H+16.7
CLT#184
+51.0A
H+9.2
UAB#137
+25.0H
A-5.1
ECU#94
+10.7H
H-4.0
ARMY#53
+9.0H
A-6.3
NAVY#93
+4.1A
A+4.0
USF#76
-3.2A