AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 11:00 PM
Away
UT Martin
—
16p
#63Home
Memphis
0-0 · AVR 50.4
41p
UTM 4%96% MEM
Spread
MEM -25.3
Total
57
Moneyline
UTM+2603MEM-2603
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Memphis
SIan Foster
90.210/1427
CBAnthony Richard Jr.
87.922/1427
SAhmere Foster
79.694/1427
LBMike Montgomery
71.4130/878
LBJayden Parrish
62.8245/878
WRBrady Kluse
60.4113/777

Projected margin

80% between 9 and 42
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKMEM +25.395% interval: 2.3 to 48.380% interval: 8.6 to 42+9+42UTM wins 4%MEM wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ MEM 42–14 UTMMEM 39–39 UTM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMEM 42–35 UTM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMEM 46–32 UTM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMEM 49–28 UTM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesMEM 53–25 UTM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMEM 56–21 UTM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesMEM 60–18 UTM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesMEM 63–14 UTM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMEM 67–11 UTM neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMEM 35–35 UTM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMEM 39–32 UTM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMEM 42–28 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMEM 46–25 UTM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMEM 49–21 UTM neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesMEM 53–18 UTM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMEM 56–14 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMEM 60–11 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMEM 63–7 UTM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMEM 32–32 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMEM 35–28 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMEM 39–25 UTM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesMEM 42–21 UTM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesMEM 46–18 UTM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesMEM 49–14 UTM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesMEM 53–11 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMEM 56–7 UTM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMEM 60–4 UTM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMEM 28–28 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMEM 32–25 UTM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMEM 35–21 UTM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMEM 39–18 UTM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesMEM 42–14 UTM neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesMEM 46–11 UTM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMEM 49–7 UTM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMEM 53–4 UTM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMEM 56–0 UTM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMEM 25–25 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMEM 28–21 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMEM 32–18 UTM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMEM 35–14 UTM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMEM 39–11 UTM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesMEM 42–7 UTM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMEM 46–4 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMEM 49–0 UTM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)MEM 21–21 UTM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMEM 25–18 UTM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesMEM 28–14 UTM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMEM 32–11 UTM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMEM 35–7 UTM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesMEM 39–4 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMEM 42–0 UTM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)MEM 18–18 UTM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMEM 21–14 UTM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMEM 25–11 UTM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMEM 28–7 UTM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMEM 32–4 UTM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMEM 35–0 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKMEM +14MEM +28MEM +42MEM +56margin →