CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTM 0.1%99.9% MEM
Projected margin
MEM by 39.5
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
MEM 18 to MEM 60
Win probability
MEM 99.9%
FinalUTM 21 · MEM 45model had +39.5, off by 15.5

Current team profiles

UT Martin
Memphis

When UT Martin has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UTM offense
—
MEM defense
#26
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UTM offense
—
MEM defense
#119
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UTM offense
#41
MEM defense
#62
Success rates
45%
#41
40%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#58
0.06
#72
EPA / play
0.21
#52
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
—
17%
#57
Havoc

When Memphis has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UTM defense
—
MEM offense
#5
EPA comparison
—
0.56
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UTM defense
—
MEM offense
#25
EPA comparison
—
0.22
#25
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UTM defense
#68
MEM offense
#17
Success rates
44%
#68
50%
#17
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#80
0.28
#22
EPA / play
0.22
#90
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
—
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

UT Martin
OLAndrew Smithberger
Player detail
Pass blocking
89.0
Run blocking
76.7
Penalties
0
82.17/1368
KHayden King
0 punts · 0.0 avg
79.97/416
RBTommy Ansley
222 yds · 6 TD · 5.0 YPC
78.550/631
WRMakhia Sherrard
17 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD
75.562/1229
DLDaveon Johnson
8 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.1145/1549
DLJordyn Jackson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.3171/1549
Memphis
QBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
73.9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
54.9
Run blocking
44.5
Penalties
0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.5
Coverage
72.4
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
73.6
Missed tackles
0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTM
MEM
vs
Offense
58.9
#116 of 125
QB
85.4
#38 of 138
75.8
#33 of 126
RB
87.3
#5 of 138
67.5
#78 of 126
WR
68.2
#104 of 138
69.7
#34 of 124
TE
77.3
#32 of 138
68.1
#34 of 125
OL
67.2
#75 of 138
Defense
72.5
#44 of 126
DL
69.7
#111 of 138
72.0
#54 of 126
LB
75.3
#57 of 138
66.4
#118 of 126
DB
70.9
#83 of 138
Common opponents