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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 3 · Sat Sep 19
· 7:00 PM ET
#202
Away
UT Martin
0-2
· AVR 35.8
21
21
at
Final
#97
Home
Memphis
2-1
· AVR 54.7
45
45
Forecast win probability
UTM 0.1%
99.9% MEM
Projected margin
MEM by 39.5
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
MEM 18 to MEM 60
Win probability
MEM 99.9%
Final
UTM 21 · MEM 45
model had +39.5, off by 15.5
Current team profiles
UT Martin
Memphis
When UT Martin has the ball
Passing
No comparison
UTM offense
—
MEM defense
#26
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#26
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
UTM offense
—
MEM defense
#119
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#119
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
UTM offense
#41
MEM defense
#62
Success rates
45%
#41
40%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#58
0.06
#72
EPA / play
0.21
#52
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
—
17%
#57
Havoc
When Memphis has the ball
Passing
No comparison
UTM defense
—
MEM offense
#5
EPA comparison
—
0.56
#5
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
UTM defense
—
MEM offense
#25
EPA comparison
—
0.22
#25
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
UTM defense
#68
MEM offense
#17
Success rates
44%
#68
50%
#17
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#80
0.28
#22
EPA / play
0.22
#90
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
—
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
UT Martin
OL
Andrew Smithberger
Player detail
Pass blocking
89.0
Run blocking
76.7
Penalties
0
82.1
7/1368
K
Hayden King
0 punts · 0.0 avg
79.9
7/416
RB
Tommy Ansley
222 yds · 6 TD · 5.0 YPC
78.5
50/631
WR
Makhia Sherrard
17 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD
75.5
62/1229
DL
Daveon Johnson
8 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.1
145/1549
DL
Jordyn Jackson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.3
171/1549
Memphis
QB
Marcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.4
41/729
RB
Dallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.6
16/1044
LB
Tylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
73.9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.3
48/1796
TE
Hunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
54.9
Run blocking
44.5
Penalties
0
77.3
38/1017
CB
Ellis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.5
Coverage
72.4
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
73.6
Missed tackles
0
76.4
147/2969
WR
Jermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8
130/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UTM
UT Martin
MEM
Memphis
vs
Offense
58.9
#116
of 125
QB
Quarterback
85.4
#38
of 138
75.8
#33
of 126
RB
Running backs
87.3
#5
of 138
67.5
#78
of 126
WR
Receivers
68.2
#104
of 138
69.7
#34
of 124
TE
Tight ends
77.3
#32
of 138
68.1
#34
of 125
OL
Offensive line
67.2
#75
of 138
Defense
72.5
#44
of 126
DL
Defensive line
69.7
#111
of 138
72.0
#54
of 126
LB
Linebackers
75.3
#57
of 138
66.4
#118
of 126
DB
Secondary
70.9
#83
of 138
Common opponents