CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Fri Oct 16 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MEM 54.4%45.6% TULN
Projected margin
MEM by 1.6
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
MEM 20 to TULN 17
Win probability
MEM 54.4%

Current team profiles

Memphis
Tulane

When Memphis has the ball

Passing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
MEM offense
#5
TULN defense
#109
EPA comparison
0.56
#5
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
MEM offense
#25
TULN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
MEM offense
#17
TULN defense
#81
Success rates
50%
#17
42%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.17
#112
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.20
#62
Explosiveness
11%
#14
11%
#135
Havoc

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
MEM defense
#26
TULN offense
#119
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
MEM defense
#119
TULN offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
MEM defense
#62
TULN offense
#133
Success rates
40%
#62
34%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#72
0.07
#97
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.57
#1
Explosiveness
17%
#57
20%
#132
Havoc

Current key players

Memphis
QBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
73.9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
54.9
Run blocking
44.5
Penalties
0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.5
Coverage
72.4
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
73.6
Missed tackles
0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MEM
TULN
vs
Offense
85.4
#38 of 138
QB
72.4
#94 of 138
87.3
#5 of 138
RB
75.5
#68 of 138
68.2
#104 of 138
WR
69.7
#85 of 138
77.3
#32 of 138
TE
65.0
#89 of 138
67.2
#75 of 138
OL
61.6
#122 of 138
Defense
69.7
#111 of 138
DL
78.4
#21 of 138
75.3
#57 of 138
LB
72.1
#86 of 138
70.9
#83 of 138
DB
67.8
#120 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Memphis
opponent
Tulane
A+51.0
CLT#184
+17.5A
H+9.0
ARMY#53
-3.0A
A-3.2
USF#76
-7.5A