CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ARMY 28.1%71.9% MEM
Projected margin
MEM by 9.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
ARMY 10 to MEM 28
Win probability
MEM 71.9%

Current team profiles

Army
Memphis

When Army has the ball

Passing

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#88
MEM defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#1
MEM defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#5
MEM defense
#62
Success rates
53%
#5
40%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
0.06
#72
EPA / play
1.04
#135
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
8%
#4
17%
#57
Havoc

When Memphis has the ball

Passing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#98
MEM offense
#5
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.56
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#122
MEM offense
#25
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.22
#25
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#92
MEM offense
#17
Success rates
42%
#92
50%
#17
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#113
0.28
#22
EPA / play
1.38
#124
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
13%
#111
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

Army
QBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.6
Coverage
62.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
61.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.

  • Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

Memphis
QBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
73.9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
54.9
Run blocking
44.5
Penalties
0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.5
Coverage
72.4
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
73.6
Missed tackles
0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARMY
MEM
vs
Offense
80.3
#55 of 138
QB
85.4
#38 of 138
74.4
#79 of 138
RB
87.3
#5 of 138
80.5
#10 of 138
WR
68.2
#104 of 138
67.1
#81 of 138
TE
77.3
#32 of 138
82.0
#1 of 138
OL
67.2
#75 of 138
Defense
69.7
#110 of 138
DL
69.7
#111 of 138
73.4
#76 of 138
LB
75.3
#57 of 138
68.9
#113 of 138
DB
70.9
#83 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Army
opponent
Memphis
A+4.0
TEM#108
+13.1H
H+4.4
ECU#94
+10.7H
N+0.4
NAVY#93
+4.1A
H+3.0
TULN#85
+1.6A
H-4.0
USF#76
-3.2A