CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
The Bones Trophy
Forecast win probability
UAB 9.8%90.2% MEM
Projected margin
MEM by 20.5
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
MEM 1 to MEM 41
Win probability
MEM 90.2%
FinalUAB 13 · MEM 38model had +20.5, off by 4.5

Current team profiles

UAB
Memphis

When UAB has the ball

Passing

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#130
MEM defense
#26
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#79
MEM defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#81
MEM defense
#62
Success rates
43%
#81
40%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#116
0.06
#72
EPA / play
1.14
#111
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
16%
#88
17%
#57
Havoc

When Memphis has the ball

Passing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#32
MEM offense
#5
EPA comparison
0.03
#32
0.56
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#102
MEM offense
#25
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.22
#25
Rush EPA

Drive success

MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#110
MEM offense
#17
Success rates
45%
#110
50%
#17
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#70
0.28
#22
EPA / play
1.03
#6
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
15%
#84
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

UAB
QBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.9
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
101
Missed tackles
8
Forced fumbles
2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.5
Run blocking
73.1
Penalties
0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.

Memphis
QBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
73.9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
54.9
Run blocking
44.5
Penalties
0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.5
Coverage
72.4
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
73.6
Missed tackles
0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

UAB
MEM
vs
Offense
74.3
#85 of 138
QB
85.4
#38 of 138
70.6
#116 of 138
RB
87.3
#5 of 138
71.2
#71 of 138
WR
68.2
#104 of 138
75.4
#37 of 138
TE
77.3
#32 of 138
63.0
#114 of 138
OL
67.2
#75 of 138
Defense
66.7
#131 of 138
DL
69.7
#111 of 138
68.9
#114 of 138
LB
75.3
#57 of 138
70.8
#86 of 138
DB
70.9
#83 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UAB
opponent
Memphis
H+10.2
CLT#184
+51.0A
A-9.2
TEM#108
+13.1H
H-6.3
ECU#94
+10.7H
A-20.2
USF#76
-3.2A
H+4.0
NAVY#93
+4.1A