Passing
No comparison
- NCCU offense
- —
- ECU defense
- #7
EPA comparison
—
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NCCU 0.2%99.8% ECU
- Projected margin
- ECU by 40.5
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- ECU 21 to ECU 62
- Win probability
- ECU 99.8%
FinalNCCU 9 · ECU 42model had +40.5, off by 7.5
Current team profiles
North Carolina Central
East CarolinaWhen North Carolina Central has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- NCCU offense
- —
- ECU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NCCU offense
- #80
- ECU defense
- #11
Success rates
42%
#80
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#79
-0.07
#15
EPA / play
0.19
#91
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
—
21%
#12
Havoc
When East Carolina has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- NCCU defense
- —
- ECU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- NCCU defense
- —
- ECU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
—
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NCCU defense
- #55
- ECU offense
- #119
Success rates
43%
#55
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#100
0.04
#110
EPA / play
0.24
#120
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
—
19%
#128
Havoc
Current key players
North Carolina CentralDLZarion Walters
35 tkl · 11.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.5
- Pressures
- 29
- Pass-rush snaps
- 182
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 3
88.35/1549
DBJakarri Martin II
17 tkl · 8 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.7
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Targets allowed
- 31
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 177
- Passer rating allowed
- 47.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
84.315/1765
DBJoshua Truesdale
52 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.5
- Coverage
- 80.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 79
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.929/1765
DBAmari Sifford
17 tkl · 6 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.6
- Coverage
- 76.3
- Targets allowed
- 28
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 67.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
78.764/1765
WRTristan Stitt
7 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
76.953/1229
RBPlez Lawrence
317 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
75.676/631
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NCCUNorth Carolina Central
ECUEast Carolina
vs
Offense
61.9
#101 of 125
QB
Quarterback
56.8
#137 of 138
71.5
#64 of 126
RB
Running backs
78.5
#44 of 138
66.9
#85 of 126
WR
Receivers
72.5
#52 of 138
71.0
#27 of 124
TE
Tight ends
62.0
#106 of 138
59.6
#114 of 125
OL
Offensive line
61.1
#127 of 138
Defense
74.4
#28 of 126
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#36 of 138
68.8
#92 of 126
LB
Linebackers
77.7
#39 of 138
77.4
#6 of 126
DB
Secondary
75.0
#33 of 138