Passing
ECU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #92
- ARMY defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ECU 39.3%60.7% ARMY
- Projected margin
- ARMY by 4.4
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- ECU 14 to ARMY 23
- Win probability
- ARMY 60.7%
Current team profiles
East Carolina
ArmyWhen East Carolina has the ball
Rushing
ECU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #116
- ARMY defense
- #122
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.19
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #119
- ARMY defense
- #92
Success rates
38%
#119
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#110
0.17
#113
EPA / play
1.22
#75
1.38
#124
Explosiveness
19%
#128
13%
#111
Havoc
When Army has the ball
Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #7
- ARMY offense
- #88
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #41
- ARMY offense
- #1
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.36
#1
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #11
- ARMY offense
- #5
Success rates
34%
#11
53%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#15
0.30
#16
EPA / play
1.24
#82
1.04
#135
Explosiveness
21%
#12
8%
#4
Havoc
Current key players
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
ArmyQBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.6
- Coverage
- 62.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.6
- Coverage
- 61.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
- Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.
- Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ECUEast Carolina
ARMYArmy
vs
Offense
56.8
#137 of 138
QB
Quarterback
80.3
#55 of 138
78.5
#44 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.4
#79 of 138
72.5
#52 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.5
#10 of 138
62.0
#106 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.1
#81 of 138
61.1
#127 of 138
OL
Offensive line
82.0
#1 of 138
Defense
77.0
#36 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.7
#110 of 138
77.7
#39 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.4
#76 of 138
75.0
#33 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.9
#113 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
East Carolina
opponent
Army
Hhome+16.0
RICERice#133+5.7Aaway
Hhome-5.9
USFSouth Florida#76-4.0Hhome
Hhome+7.1
FAUFlorida Atlantic#88+8.8Hhome
Aaway-10.7
MEMMemphis#70-9.0Aaway
Hhome+5.1
TEMTemple#108+4.0Aaway