Passing
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #92
- ODU defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ECU 64.5%35.5% ODU
- Projected margin
- ECU by 5.5
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- ECU 24 to ODU 14
- Win probability
- ECU 64.5%
FinalECU 20 · ODU 17model had -5.5, off by 2.5
Current team profiles
East CarolinaOld DominionWhen East Carolina has the ball
Rushing
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #116
- ODU defense
- #14
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
-0.12
#14
Rush EPA
Drive success
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #119
- ODU defense
- #22
Success rates
38%
#119
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#110
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
1.22
#75
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
19%
#128
18%
#34
Havoc
When Old Dominion has the ball
Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #7
- ODU offense
- #138
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
-0.19
#138
Pass EPA
Rushing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #41
- ODU offense
- #134
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
-0.11
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #11
- ODU offense
- #138
Success rates
34%
#11
31%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#15
-0.15
#137
EPA / play
1.24
#82
1.20
#90
Explosiveness
21%
#12
25%
#138
Havoc
Current key players
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
Old DominionQBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.6
- Coverage
- 88.5
- Pressures
- 11
- Pass-rush snaps
- 36
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 80.8
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 122
- Passer rating allowed
- 98.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.1
- Coverage
- 73.2
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 47
- Passer rating allowed
- 97.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.1274/2969
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ECUEast Carolina
ODUOld Dominion
vs
Offense
56.8
#137 of 138
QB
Quarterback
57.6
#136 of 138
78.5
#44 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.3
#133 of 138
72.5
#52 of 138
WR
Receivers
60.7
#137 of 138
62.0
#106 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.1
#80 of 138
61.1
#127 of 138
OL
Offensive line
59.7
#132 of 138
Defense
77.0
#36 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.9
#108 of 138
77.7
#39 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.2
#4 of 138
75.0
#33 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.4
#51 of 138