CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TEM 37.0%63.0% ECU
Projected margin
ECU by 5.1
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
TEM 14 to ECU 24
Win probability
ECU 63.0%

Current team profiles

Temple
East Carolina

When Temple has the ball

Passing

ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#47
ECU defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#51
ECU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#77
ECU defense
#11
Success rates
43%
#77
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#48
-0.07
#15
EPA / play
1.22
#80
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
11%
#20
21%
#12
Havoc

When East Carolina has the ball

Passing

ECU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#107
ECU offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

TEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#112
ECU offense
#116
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

ECU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#122
ECU offense
#119
Success rates
46%
#122
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#119
0.04
#110
EPA / play
1.18
#51
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
10%
#137
19%
#128
Havoc

Current key players

Temple
QBAjani Sheppard
631 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
78.583/729
LBTyree Alualu
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.3
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.310/1796
LBJordan Montgomery
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.6
Coverage
64.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
88.418/1796
CBEarl Kulp
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
72.9
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.5175/2969
RBKeveun Mason
361 yds · 2 TD · 5.3 YPC
75.0178/1044
CBAdrian Laing
10 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
128
Passer rating allowed
78.0
Missed tackles
1
70.5413/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Coen Logan · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Logan is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rameir Hardy · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hardy is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaxon Smolik · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smolik is suffering with a foot injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Reis Stocksdale · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stocksdale is dealing with a hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Samuel Brown V · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is suffering with a undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

East Carolina
QBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.2
Coverage
88.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
41
Passer rating allowed
69.8
Missed tackles
1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.0
Coverage
75.6
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
63.8
Coverage
64.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
40.2
Coverage
89.2
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
69.0
Missed tackles
3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TEM
ECU
vs
Offense
78.5
#65 of 138
QB
56.8
#137 of 138
71.3
#109 of 138
RB
78.5
#44 of 138
64.7
#131 of 138
WR
72.5
#52 of 138
66.5
#84 of 138
TE
62.0
#106 of 138
67.6
#72 of 138
OL
61.1
#127 of 138
Defense
72.7
#75 of 138
DL
77.0
#36 of 138
84.8
#5 of 138
LB
77.7
#39 of 138
70.2
#93 of 138
DB
75.0
#33 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Temple
opponent
East Carolina
A+4.0
USF#76
-5.9H
H+6.9
RICE#133
+16.0H
H+9.2
UAB#137
+6.3A
H+16.7
CLT#184
+13.8A
A-13.1
MEM#70
-10.7A
H-4.0
ARMY#53
-4.4A