CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
#6Away
Georgia
5-0 · AVR 79.0
20
Final
#3Home
Alabama
5-0 · AVR 81.5
17
Forecast win probability
UGA 33.7%66.3% ALA
Projected margin
ALA by 5.8
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
UGA 13 to ALA 25
Win probability
ALA 66.3%
FinalUGA 20 · ALA 17model had +5.8, off by 8.8

Current team profiles

Georgia
Alabama

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#3
ALA defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.62
#3
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#12
ALA defense
#8
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#6
ALA defense
#30
Success rates
52%
#6
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.40
#3
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.28
#38
1.37
#122
Explosiveness
12%
#24
20%
#22
Havoc

When Alabama has the ball

Passing

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#49
ALA offense
#22
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#5
ALA offense
#9
EPA comparison
-0.22
#5
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#27
ALA offense
#15
Success rates
35%
#27
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.33
#7
EPA / play
1.23
#76
1.32
#25
Explosiveness
19%
#24
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Alabama
QBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.1
Coverage
84.7
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
25
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
74.2
Penalties
1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
62.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UGA
ALA
vs
Offense
92.5
#4 of 138
QB
92.5
#3 of 138
90.5
#2 of 138
RB
84.4
#12 of 138
82.8
#4 of 138
WR
76.3
#29 of 138
88.9
#4 of 138
TE
82.8
#17 of 138
75.5
#15 of 138
OL
71.7
#38 of 138
Defense
78.6
#20 of 138
DL
79.7
#17 of 138
81.2
#15 of 138
LB
81.5
#14 of 138
78.9
#5 of 138
DB
72.1
#69 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia
opponent
Alabama
A+12.6
SC#38
+31.0H
H+24.0
VAN#58
+13.4A
H+15.9
AUB#42
+18.0H