Passing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SC offense
- #66
- ALA defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SC 18.6%81.4% ALA
- Projected margin
- ALA by 15.1
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- SC 6 to ALA 38
- Win probability
- ALA 81.4%
FinalSC 18 · ALA 49model had +15.1, off by 15.9
Current team profiles
South CarolinaAlabamaWhen South Carolina has the ball
Rushing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SC offense
- #25
- ALA defense
- #8
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SC offense
- #40
- ALA defense
- #30
Success rates
47%
#40
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#42
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.21
#83
1.37
#122
Explosiveness
13%
#44
20%
#22
Havoc
When Alabama has the ball
Passing
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SC defense
- #121
- ALA offense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.35
#121
0.42
#22
Pass EPA
Rushing
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SC defense
- #37
- ALA offense
- #9
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.27
#9
Rush EPA
Drive success
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SC defense
- #74
- ALA offense
- #15
Success rates
41%
#74
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#96
0.33
#7
EPA / play
1.27
#90
1.32
#25
Explosiveness
14%
#101
16%
#94
Havoc
Current key players
South CarolinaQBLaNorris Sellers
1059 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
68.2180/729
DBKosci Barnes
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.4
- Coverage
- 91.8
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
91.93/2969
RBIsaiah Augustave
114 yds · 2 TD · 8.1 YPC
87.421/1044
LBJamian Risher Jr.
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.3249/1796
DBKendall Daniels Jr.
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.4
- Coverage
- 70.9
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 1
- Passer rating allowed
- 42.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
71.9333/2969
DBTriston Lewis
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.1
- Coverage
- 72.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
71.7346/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Dylan Stewart · DLout · 2026-09-20
Stewart is dealing with a back injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jayden Gibson · WRout · 2026-08-17
Gibson is batting with a lower body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Jayden Sellers · WRout · 2026-08-17
Sellers is fighting off a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Jacarrius Peak · OGQues. · 2026-10-08
Peak is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Florida on Saturday.
- Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy · DLQues. · 2026-10-08
Brownlow-Dindy is nursing with a upper body injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.
- Mazeo Bennett Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Florida on Saturday.
- Lucian Anderson III · QBQues. · 2026-10-08
Anderson III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.
AlabamaQBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.1
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.8
- Run blocking
- 74.2
- Penalties
- 1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 62.2
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SCSouth Carolina
ALAAlabama
vs
Offense
68.2
#110 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.5
#3 of 138
84.0
#14 of 138
RB
Running backs
84.4
#12 of 138
64.6
#132 of 138
WR
Receivers
76.3
#29 of 138
68.6
#76 of 138
TE
Tight ends
82.8
#17 of 138
74.7
#19 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#38 of 138
Defense
78.9
#18 of 138
DL
Defensive line
79.7
#17 of 138
68.0
#121 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.5
#14 of 138
75.2
#30 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.1
#69 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
South Carolina
opponent
Alabama
Hhome-7.0
MSSTMississippi State#35+33.0Aaway
Hhome-1.0
UKKentucky#40+28.0Aaway
Hhome-5.4
TA&MTexas A&M#28+11.9Hhome
Hhome-6.8
TENNTennessee#21+5.2Aaway
Hhome-12.6
UGAGeorgia#6-3.0Hhome