Passing
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA offense
- #22
- UK defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ALA 77.5%22.5% UK
- Projected margin
- ALA by 11.5
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- ALA 31 to UK 7
- Win probability
- ALA 77.5%
FinalALA 45 · UK 17model had -11.5, off by 16.5
Current team profiles
Alabama
KentuckyWhen Alabama has the ball
Rushing
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA offense
- #9
- UK defense
- #81
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
0.06
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA offense
- #15
- UK defense
- #109
Success rates
50%
#15
44%
#109
Success rate
More metrics
0.33
#7
0.04
#56
EPA / play
1.32
#25
1.17
#44
Explosiveness
16%
#94
18%
#36
Havoc
When Kentucky has the ball
Passing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA defense
- #55
- UK offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA defense
- #8
- UK offense
- #35
EPA comparison
-0.17
#8
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA defense
- #30
- UK offense
- #20
Success rates
35%
#30
50%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#17
0.21
#43
EPA / play
1.37
#122
1.15
#106
Explosiveness
20%
#22
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
AlabamaQBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.1
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.8
- Run blocking
- 74.2
- Penalties
- 1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 62.2
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
KentuckyQBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.8
- Run blocking
- 78.1
- Penalties
- 0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 66.7
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 68
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22
Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ALAAlabama
UKKentucky
vs
Offense
92.5
#3 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#126 of 138
84.4
#12 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.1
#30 of 138
76.3
#29 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.6
#75 of 138
82.8
#17 of 138
TE
Tight ends
80.5
#24 of 138
71.7
#38 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.5
#20 of 138
Defense
79.7
#17 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.6
#90 of 138
81.5
#14 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.1
#95 of 138
72.1
#69 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.3
#92 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Alabama
opponent
Kentucky
Hhome+31.0
SCSouth Carolina#38+1.0Aaway
Aaway+5.2
TENNTennessee#21-15.5Aaway
Aaway+13.4
VANVanderbilt#58-2.0Hhome
Aaway+6.6
LSULSU#11+1.0Hhome
Hhome+11.9
TA&MTexas A&M#28+10.0Aaway