CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Tue Nov 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
M-OH 41.4%58.6% WMU
Projected margin
WMU by 3.6
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
M-OH 15 to WMU 22
Win probability
WMU 58.6%

Current team profiles

Miami (OH)
Western Michigan

When Miami (OH) has the ball

Passing

M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH offense
#24
WMU defense
#65
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH offense
#81
WMU defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH offense
#101
WMU defense
#105
Success rates
40%
#101
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#65
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.39
#9
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
15%
#84
13%
#109
Havoc

When Western Michigan has the ball

Passing

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH defense
#122
WMU offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

M-OH defense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH defense
#41
WMU offense
#51
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH defense
#108
WMU offense
#85
Success rates
44%
#108
42%
#85
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.14
#73
EPA / play
1.29
#98
1.15
#108
Explosiveness
13%
#123
13%
#42
Havoc

Current key players

Miami (OH)
QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
63.6
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
59.8
Pressures
13
Pass-rush snaps
122
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
  • David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10

    McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24

    Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05

    Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05

    Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

Western Michigan
QBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
78.1
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.1
Coverage
68.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
63.6
Run blocking
68.3
Penalties
0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
  • Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

M-OH
WMU
vs
Offense
84.2
#43 of 138
QB
90.8
#15 of 138
70.0
#119 of 138
RB
68.5
#126 of 138
78.2
#16 of 138
WR
69.5
#88 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
TE
75.5
#36 of 138
71.8
#37 of 138
OL
60.3
#131 of 138
Defense
69.8
#109 of 138
DL
77.6
#28 of 138
71.1
#96 of 138
LB
78.8
#28 of 138
67.5
#121 of 138
DB
68.9
#112 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Miami (OH)
opponent
Western Michigan
A+5.0
KENT#161
+31.0H
H-4.0
BGSU#144
+9.7H
H+8.7
BUF#149
+3.0A
H+12.3
AKR#140
+7.9A
A-0.9
CMU#138
+0.1A