Passing
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #19
- MISS defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET
Golden Egg Trophy
Forecast win probability
MSST 31.2%68.8% MISS
- Projected margin
- MISS by 7.6
- Projected total
- 61
- 80% outcome range
- MSST 11 to MISS 26
- Win probability
- MISS 68.8%
Current team profiles
Mississippi State
Ole MissWhen Mississippi State has the ball
Rushing
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #30
- MISS defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #29
- MISS defense
- #114
Success rates
48%
#29
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#24
0.15
#105
EPA / play
1.32
#27
1.17
#42
Explosiveness
14%
#63
16%
#65
Havoc
When Ole Miss has the ball
Passing
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #75
- MISS offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #73
- MISS offense
- #42
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #78
- MISS offense
- #4
Success rates
41%
#78
53%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#88
0.27
#26
EPA / play
1.16
#40
1.13
#115
Explosiveness
17%
#43
13%
#37
Havoc
Current key players
Mississippi StateQBKamario Taylor
1450 yds · 17 TD · 4 INT
73.0130/729
RBJ.J. Hill
124 yds · 2 TD · 12.4 YPC
90.09/1044
CBJett Jefferson
25 tkl · 8 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 31
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 164
- Passer rating allowed
- 96.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.124/2969
WRAnthony Evans III
40 rec · 574 yds · 5 TD
82.834/2069
SJardin Gilbert
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.8100/2969
SIsaac Smith
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.3
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6171/2969
Availability reports · 4
- A. Williams · WRout · 2026-10-01
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unlikely to play Saturday against the Alabama.
- Trevion Williams · DLout · 2026-09-26
Williams is sidelined due to Leg injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Bull Mitchell · WRout · 2026-09-20
Mitchell is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Jamari Freeman · OGQues. · 2026-10-03
Freeman is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against LSU on Saturday, October 10th.
Ole MissQBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.8
- Run blocking
- 70.3
- Penalties
- 1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.4
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MSSTMississippi State
MISSOle Miss
vs
Offense
73.0
#89 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.0
#40 of 138
89.0
#3 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.9
#114 of 138
75.4
#32 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.1
#25 of 138
64.6
#92 of 138
TE
Tight ends
79.4
#26 of 138
63.3
#113 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.5
#100 of 138
Defense
73.2
#66 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.0
#71 of 138
66.7
#126 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.2
#94 of 138
76.3
#22 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.9
#99 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Mississippi State
opponent
Ole Miss
Hhome+2.1
VANVanderbilt#58+35.0Aaway
Aaway-10.0
LSULSU#11+8.0Hhome
Aaway-13.0
TEXTexas#7-8.0Aaway
Hhome+1.4
AUBAuburn#42+6.4Hhome
Hhome+7.0
MIZMissouri#15+2.5Hhome
Hhome-2.6
OUOklahoma#19-2.9Aaway