Passing
CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #130
- BALL defense
- #132
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.45
#132
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CMU 61.5%38.5% BALL
- Projected margin
- CMU by 4.4
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- CMU 23 to BALL 14
- Win probability
- CMU 61.5%
Current team profiles
Central Michigan
Ball StateWhen Central Michigan has the ball
Rushing
CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #45
- BALL defense
- #133
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.25
#133
Rush EPA
Drive success
BALL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #119
- BALL defense
- #114
Success rates
38%
#119
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#103
0.32
#136
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.44
#135
Explosiveness
14%
#50
13%
#113
Havoc
When Ball State has the ball
Passing
CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #71
- BALL offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
BALL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #107
- BALL offense
- #100
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.03
#100
Rush EPA
Drive success
CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #126
- BALL offense
- #128
Success rates
47%
#126
36%
#128
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#108
0.05
#107
EPA / play
1.11
#24
1.38
#13
Explosiveness
15%
#90
18%
#125
Havoc
Current key players
Central MichiganQBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.2
- Coverage
- 88.0
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 46.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.6
- Coverage
- 89.0
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 27
- Passer rating allowed
- 11.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.2
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 27.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 51.1
- Run blocking
- 70.6
- Penalties
- 0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15
VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10
VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CMUCentral Michigan
BALLBall State
vs
Offense
76.4
#76 of 138
QB
Quarterback
67.4
#112 of 138
73.2
#94 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.2
#35 of 138
64.3
#133 of 138
WR
Receivers
64.8
#130 of 138
71.7
#53 of 138
TE
Tight ends
58.7
#130 of 138
65.5
#92 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.4
#86 of 138
Defense
70.5
#99 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.0
#121 of 138
67.5
#123 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.5
#116 of 138
78.4
#8 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.8
#118 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Central Michigan
opponent
Ball State
Hhome+13.8
SACSacramento State#187+6.8Hhome
Aaway-17.0
OHIOOhio#107-10.2Aaway
Aaway+1.6
BUFBuffalo#149-0.2Hhome