Passing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #41
- NU defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Land of Lincoln Trophy
Forecast win probability
ILL 33.2%66.8% NU
- Projected margin
- NU by 6.8
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- ILL 12 to NU 25
- Win probability
- NU 66.8%
Current team profiles
Illinois
NorthwesternWhen Illinois has the ball
Rushing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #39
- NU defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #15
- NU defense
- #104
Success rates
50%
#15
43%
#104
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#34
0.06
#69
EPA / play
1.25
#60
1.11
#26
Explosiveness
11%
#14
17%
#49
Havoc
When Northwestern has the ball
Passing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #126
- NU offense
- #9
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.52
#9
Pass EPA
Rushing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #101
- NU offense
- #21
EPA comparison
0.12
#101
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #117
- NU offense
- #21
Success rates
46%
#117
49%
#21
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#130
0.33
#8
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.31
#29
Explosiveness
12%
#125
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
NorthwesternQBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 35.0
- Run blocking
- 60.8
- Penalties
- 1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.
- Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,
- Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ILLIllinois
NUNorthwestern
vs
Offense
90.8
#14 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.8
#87 of 138
75.4
#70 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.3
#34 of 138
75.8
#31 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.2
#126 of 138
73.7
#44 of 138
TE
Tight ends
85.0
#11 of 138
69.2
#60 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.8
#89 of 138
Defense
72.8
#74 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.7
#118 of 138
76.7
#48 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.7
#115 of 138
73.0
#57 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.6
#75 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Illinois
opponent
Northwestern
Aaway+1.0
MSUMichigan State#62+8.9Aaway
Aaway-23.0
OSUOhio State#2-17.5Aaway
Hhome-1.8
IOWAIowa#20+2.3Hhome
Hhome-10.9
OREOregon#8-12.2Aaway