CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MRSH 75.2%24.8% ULM
Projected margin
MRSH by 10.7
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
MRSH 29 to ULM 8
Win probability
MRSH 75.2%

Current team profiles

Marshall
UL Monroe

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#62
ULM defense
#132
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#107
ULM defense
#136
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
0.27
#136
Rush EPA

Drive success

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#64
ULM defense
#136
Success rates
44%
#64
51%
#136
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#85
0.32
#137
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.24
#84
Explosiveness
17%
#114
11%
#133
Havoc

When UL Monroe has the ball

Passing

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#138
ULM offense
#111
EPA comparison
0.50
#138
0.08
#111
Pass EPA

Rushing

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#112
ULM offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#117
ULM offense
#88
Success rates
46%
#117
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#135
0.00
#121
EPA / play
1.31
#107
1.16
#102
Explosiveness
13%
#113
17%
#120
Havoc

Current key players

Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
UL Monroe
QBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
78.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.0
Coverage
67.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
70.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
35
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03

    Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01

    Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MRSH
ULM
vs
Offense
72.8
#91 of 138
QB
70.1
#99 of 138
72.7
#101 of 138
RB
73.6
#91 of 138
63.4
#136 of 138
WR
69.2
#92 of 138
65.9
#87 of 138
TE
60.2
#118 of 138
65.2
#93 of 138
OL
64.2
#103 of 138
Defense
75.2
#52 of 138
DL
70.7
#96 of 138
66.2
#129 of 138
LB
71.7
#91 of 138
71.2
#79 of 138
DB
63.4
#137 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Marshall
opponent
UL Monroe
H+1.8
APP#100
-16.8A
H-0.6
USA#96
-17.0A