AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 5:00 AM
Palmetto Trophy
#29Away
South Carolina
0-0 · AVR 63.4
24p
#27Home
Clemson
0-0 · AVR 65.6
26p
SC 44%56% CLEM
Spread
CLEM -2.4
Total
50
Moneyline
SC+128CLEM-128
Margin σ
14.6

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← SC advantageevenCLEM advantage →
SC throw
CLEM +30
SC run
CLEM +51
CLEM throw
CLEM QB #108CLEM WR #31
SC +18
CLEM run
SC +16

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
off the edge· hunting Denson
Dietrick Pennington
vs
Dylan Stewart
LT · CLEM
EDGE · SC
70.7
91.7
SC +21
when SC throws
Nyck Harbor
vs
Ashton Hampton
X · SC
CB1 · CLEM
61.5
87.1
CLEM +26
when CLEM runs
Chris Johnson Jr.
vs
Fred Johnson
RB · CLEM
MLB · SC
68.0
78.4
SC +10
when CLEM throws
T.J. Moore
vs
Vicari Swain
X · CLEM
CB1 · SC
71.6
71.7
dead even
when SC runs
Christian Clark
vs
Sammy Brown
RB · SC
MLB · CLEM
53.4
80.8
CLEM +27
over the middle
Mike Tyler
vs
Branden Strozier
TE · SC
FS · CLEM
42.0
76.1
CLEM +34

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
South Carolina
LBFred Johnson
78.473/878
LBJustin Okoronkwo
72.1123/878
DBVicari Swain
71.7197/1427
QBLaNorris Sellers
67.648/308
DBPeyton Williams
67.0308/1427
DBJalewis Solomon
62.1423/1427

also out — unknown (WR), J. Gibson (WR), J. Sellers (WR), Dylan Stewart (EDGE), Jacarrius Peak (OL)

Clemson
CBAshton Hampton
87.127/1427
SCorey Myrick
84.747/1427
SJerome Carter III
81.873/1427
LBSammy Brown
80.848/878
WRT.J. Moore
71.643/777
RBChris Johnson Jr.
68.068/514

also out — Clemson defensive tackle (DL), Former Clemson corner (CB), P. Streko (RB), Clemson, Clemson defensive back (DB), Clemson freshman standout, Clemson player, Clemson safety (S) +10 more

Projected margin

80% between -16 and 20
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCLEM +2.495% interval: -22.2 to 2780% interval: -15.5 to 20.3-15+20SC wins 44%CLEM wins 56%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CLEM 25–25 SCCLEM 21–49 SC neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCLEM 25–46 SC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCLEM 28–42 SC neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 32–39 SC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLEM 35–35 SC neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCLEM 39–32 SC neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 42–28 SC neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 46–25 SC neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCLEM 49–21 SC neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 18–46 SC neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCLEM 21–42 SC neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCLEM 25–39 SC neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLEM 28–35 SC neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCLEM 32–32 SC neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCLEM 35–28 SC neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCLEM 39–25 SC neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 42–21 SC neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCLEM 46–18 SC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCLEM 14–42 SC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 18–39 SC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 21–35 SC neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 25–32 SC neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 28–28 SC neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCLEM 32–25 SC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCLEM 35–21 SC neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCLEM 39–18 SC neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLEM 42–14 SC neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 11–39 SC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 14–35 SC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 18–32 SC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 21–28 SC neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCLEM 25–25 SC neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCLEM 28–21 SC neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCLEM 32–18 SC neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCLEM 35–14 SC neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLEM 39–11 SC neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 7–35 SC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 11–32 SC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 14–28 SC neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 18–25 SC neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 21–21 SC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCLEM 25–18 SC neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCLEM 28–14 SC neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCLEM 32–11 SC neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLEM 35–7 SC neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 4–32 SC neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCLEM 7–28 SC neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 11–25 SC neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLEM 14–21 SC neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 18–18 SC neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCLEM 21–14 SC neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 25–11 SC neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCLEM 28–7 SC neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 32–4 SC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCLEM 0–28 SC neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCLEM 4–25 SC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCLEM 7–21 SC neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCLEM 11–18 SC neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 14–14 SC neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 18–11 SC neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCLEM 21–7 SC neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLEM 25–4 SC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 28–0 SC neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomes70635649423528totalSC +28SC +14PKCLEM +14CLEM +28margin →