CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CONN 60.6%39.4% WYO
Projected margin
CONN by 4.4
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
CONN 23 to WYO 14
Win probability
CONN 60.6%

Current team profiles

UConn
Wyoming

When UConn has the ball

Passing

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN offense
#38
WYO defense
#89
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN offense
#28
WYO defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN offense
#52
WYO defense
#121
Success rates
45%
#52
46%
#121
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#38
0.14
#101
EPA / play
1.40
#7
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
13%
#39
15%
#93
Havoc

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN defense
#84
WYO offense
#128
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN defense
#41
WYO offense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN defense
#92
WYO offense
#69
Success rates
42%
#92
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.20
#63
1.02
#137
Explosiveness
16%
#63
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

UConn
QBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
83.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
30.8
Run blocking
71.7
Penalties
2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05

    Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CONN
WYO
vs
Offense
91.0
#12 of 138
QB
67.9
#111 of 138
78.8
#42 of 138
RB
73.8
#85 of 138
77.7
#18 of 138
WR
58.4
#138 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
TE
68.9
#71 of 138
71.7
#40 of 138
OL
66.6
#82 of 138
Defense
71.3
#93 of 138
DL
74.6
#57 of 138
73.2
#78 of 138
LB
68.5
#117 of 138
64.0
#136 of 138
DB
74.0
#46 of 138
Common opponents