Passing
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LOU offense
- #15
- UK defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Governor's Cup (Kentucky)
Forecast win probability
LOU 47.7%52.3% UK
- Projected margin
- UK by 1.0
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- LOU 18 to UK 20
- Win probability
- UK 52.3%
Current team profiles
Louisville
KentuckyWhen Louisville has the ball
Rushing
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LOU offense
- #17
- UK defense
- #81
EPA comparison
0.25
#17
0.06
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LOU offense
- #18
- UK defense
- #109
Success rates
50%
#18
44%
#109
Success rate
More metrics
0.34
#6
0.04
#56
EPA / play
1.39
#9
1.17
#44
Explosiveness
15%
#84
18%
#36
Havoc
When Kentucky has the ball
Passing
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LOU defense
- #116
- UK offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LOU defense
- #47
- UK offense
- #35
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LOU defense
- #74
- UK offense
- #20
Success rates
41%
#74
50%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
0.21
#43
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.15
#106
Explosiveness
14%
#104
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
LouisvilleQBLincoln Kienholz
1394 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
83.951/729
LBTrent Carter
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.013/1796
RBBraxton Jennings
31 yds · 1 TD · 7.8 YPC
86.326/1044
WRTre Richardson
28 rec · 445 yds · 2 TD
80.258/2069
LBJacob Smith
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.1117/1796
DBBrycen Scott
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.5
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 92
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.6204/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Antonio Watts · CBout · 2026-09-25
Watts has been out of commission due to a knee injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Kris Hughes · WRout · 2026-08-11
Huges has been out of commission due to lower body injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Keyjuan Brown · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Hamilton Atkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Atkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Elizjah Lewis · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anwar O'Neal · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
O'Neal is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Montavin Quisenberry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Quisenberry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Payton Cook · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
KentuckyQBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.8
- Run blocking
- 78.1
- Penalties
- 0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 66.7
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 68
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22
Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
LOULouisville
UKKentucky
vs
Offense
83.9
#45 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#126 of 138
82.9
#21 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.1
#30 of 138
74.4
#38 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.6
#75 of 138
71.7
#52 of 138
TE
Tight ends
80.5
#24 of 138
63.9
#104 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.5
#20 of 138
Defense
83.8
#4 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.6
#90 of 138
79.3
#24 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.1
#95 of 138
70.7
#87 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.3
#92 of 138